Washington state megathread

[Seattle]

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http://blog.seattlepi.com/seattlepolitics/2011/10/21/state-sen-scott-white-found-dead/

It is quite sad! =(
And he had so much potential.

[Seattle]

Certainly some surprising stuff! This is the second poll showing a sizeable passing of a gay marriage law. I'd like to see PPP poll WA and ask that and it'd be great if that could get on teh ballot here.

Still seems to me no one knows who Inslee is, while Gregoire's numbers have really rebounded.

Cantwell seems to be cruising along nicely.

[Seattle]

What would an approve/reject map look for a vote on gay marriage? All the Puget Sound counties approving it minus Pierce? I think Mason county would probably approve it this time around.  Basically identical to the "Everything but Marriage" map?

[Seattle]

The state wants to/is going to investigate Aaron Reardon...... Any thoughts?

[Seattle]

While no one here probably cares.... I'm guessing (and hoping!) that all the Seattle School Board loses, with exception of Harium Martin-Morris. I think Peter Maier and Steve Sundquist are probably goners. Sherry Carr less so and Martin-Morris the least.

I-1125: 52-48  No
I-1163 - 55-45 No (Although that's just a pure guess)
I-1183 - 51-49 Yes

I'd also like to see Port of Seattle commisioner Bill Bryant gone.

[Seattle]

Seattle car tabe failed pretty badly.

Looks like I-1183 surpassed everyone's expectations....again. 66% of the vote. wow.

[Seattle]

lol. So weird to see Lynden voting with Bellingham.....

[Seattle]

Yes. Linville is more moderate, though.

I think Spokane will vote for Obama by 55% or more in 2012.

The only way I see that happening is if the Republican nominee is Bachmann, or another rightwing candidate. Romney has a very high chance of winning Spokane county.

[Seattle]

Oh I know, I thought he was talking about Spokane county. What percentage did Spokane vote for Obama in 2008.

[Seattle]

Something worth mentioning: Starting at midnight tonight, McKenna won't be able to fundraise until sometime in March due to the freeze on state officials raising money during legislative sessions.

Inslee is free to raise money during this time period.

   

Not good for McKenna, but I'm sure third party groups will be waiting in line to donate once the session ends.

[Seattle]

Stan Flemming isn't actually African-American, even if he looks it; he's (adopted) South Asian.

Wow. Literally everyone I talk to in U.P. has told me he's African-American. Interesting.

EDIT: This article is hilarious, mostly because of how crazy Lorna Smith is: http://universityplace.patch.com/articles/was-university-place-s-first-mayor-african-american

Lol, why does she even care!?

[Seattle]

Any chance one of the Democratic legislators will run in the Heckmander? It would at least be semi-satisfying if he lost to another Democrat.

They've all already endorsed him

Oh well. Some corrupt good ol' boy party hack wins. Again.

wurt.? You're an independent now? Protest against Tim Ceis?

[Seattle]

Anybody think that we could be down to one Republican district after 2020 redistricting?

Not a chance. I doubt there will be enough Hispanic growth to make the 4th democratic and the fifth still will probably be marginally or modestly solid republican.

I think the third will continue to be republican as well, I can only imagine further exurban growth in Clark county, which will continue to outvote the more established Vancouver/Hazel Dell/Camas area.

[Seattle]

Liias actually wound up in the 7th CD.

I think the 7th might actually be open. Doesn't McDermott live in Mt.Baker, which is now the 9th? Or am I just plain wrong that he lives in south Seattle....?

[Seattle]

I'm fine with it in some cases... Seattle is a very Democratic city. It's about the size of a Congressional district. It makes sense having it be its own congressional district. I don't support splitting it up to favor my party.

Not to mention that now supposedly there is a stronger community of interest between S. Seattle and its southern suburbs than with the rest of Seattle, which is completely ridiculous.

[Seattle]

I'd imagine another member who would normally not vote for it, Kastama, will since he's running for Sos.

What about Hobbs, Kilmer, and Hatfield?
I have no clue what their stance is on this... but two are in swing districts and the other is in logging country.

[Seattle]

I can see all of those passing, minus perhaps the car tab. The traffic camera and fraud one,  IMO, would have a lot of support.

[Seattle]

I'd be verry surprised if Hill votes no, 60-40 for domestic partnership? That's a certain pass for gay marriage too. Much less certain for Fain, but if Erikson or Parlette are considering..... Who knows. It's really interesting to watch!

[Seattle]

Am I missing something here? Doesn't Brad Owen get to vote on this if it's a tie?  Or is that not somehow not case with the Washington state lieutenant governor?  Should we be talking about him?

For now, no, since it looks like the vote is essentially 23-18, and the issue needs just two more votes to pass, which I suspect would come from Kastama and Hill, and Haugen if she gets her way.

[Seattle]

The State Senate also has an odd number of members, making ties more rare.

So what type of scenarios allow for an odd-numbered legislative chamber to have a tie vote? Member(s) missing/dead or voting 'abstain/present/etc'?

Im guessing an abstain/sick/death scenario is the only way.

[Seattle]

The snow forecast has always been loaded toward tonight through tomorrow afternoon...they weren't predicting more than an inch or two tonight and today.

It looks like we're scaling back to about 3-8", though.  Maybe that will become a trend and we'll get nothing.

As a weather nerd.... I'd say if you are north of Everett you wont get more than an inch or two... Seattle like 5-9 inches, 10+ South of Tacoma.

Anyway, Im EXCITED. Way more interesting than politics.

[Seattle]

However, wasn't Ericksen's district like only 52-48 Yes on R71?

[Seattle]

omg, Alcon I love your D-this place R-that place comments!

The vote should be starting soon.... I'm excited!

[Seattle]

When are they going to actually vote on this?

I'm glad that Hatfield has come out in support of this. Also, its good to see that both Fain and Hill basically support it.

So this will be 28-21? or more like 27-22?

[Seattle]

Are you watching this Alcon?