Washington state megathread

[Seattle]

Obama up "(57-36 among likely voters); Cantwell clobbering Baumgartner (60-33 among likely voters)"

I really think Cantwell has a shot at getting 60%. The Obama margin is also very surprising... I can't imagine Romney doing that badly...


I believe PPP should be coming out with a WA poll too?

[Seattle]

There were only 3 votes from my former highschool, so not much info there, but my middle school voted 96-4 for Obama and 80-20 for R-74. Way to go Washington. lol.

I remember, for the 2008 election, my highschool (Garfield) voted something like 1600-3 in favor of Obama. lol.

[Seattle]

Finally was able to get onto the site. Lol. Very good night for Democrats and WA dems as well.

Obama looks like he'll be in the +13-15 range. I'm a bit worried about the senate.... Haugen could still pull it through. Not all the votes have been counted.

Cantwell looks like she'll be heading for 59-60%. Inslee should probably win as well, with 50% of King still out and he's already leading 51-49.

Pot looks like it breezed through, and R-74, should follow a similar path as Inslee, but it should get a bit more than he does.

[Seattle]

The forum is still incredibly slow, but I'm dissapointed! Come on WA posters, discuss!

There's about to be a big King county ballot dump at 6:30, I imagine that should raise state totals significantly. It appears all of Spokane county has been counted, Obama lost, by about 4%, but Cantwell won it by .2%. Lol at Baumgartner.

Also, the SOS site keeps showing 100% counted for everything, which is incredibly annoying...

[Seattle]

Yikes, how long is it going to take to count all the ballots? I thought major headway would be made today, instead, I think the total percentage counted went up to 58% from 54%.

How is it that Oregon can go through so much faster?

[Seattle]

Yikes, how long is it going to take to count all the ballots? I thought major headway would be made today, instead, I think the total percentage counted went up to 58% from 54%.

How is it that Oregon can go through so much faster?

Their ballots have to be received by election day. Ours just have to be postmarked by election day.

That would make the process much faster. I guess I'm just antsy over R74 numbers and Inslee. Besides, I want to see how well Cantwell ends up doing.

[Seattle]

I think it's interesting that Obama lost Wahkiakum, but the county barely swung against him. I guess it's possible he could still win it, Romney leads by 24 votes.

[Seattle]

Here are some student-dominated precincts:
Pullman 131: 80 votes in 2008 down to 19 in 2012
Pullman 132: 70 to 14
Pullman 133: 34 to 13
Pullman 134: 156 to 61

Obviously more ballots will be counted, but it seems likely that turnout is greatly down among students. And those first three precincts are pretty much exclusively students. I bet there are lots of precincts where students went from being 1/2 the vote to 1/4, 1/3 to 1/6, etc. The more suburban parts of Pullman are a lot more conservative, and I doubt their turnout decreased as much.

WSU is also the kind of school where people voted for Obama because it was cool to do so in 2008. It's never been a particularly liberal school and is simply returning to its standard voting habits.

Don't students vote in their home county? When I was going to UW I never bothered to change my voter registration, I just had my parents forward me my ballot.

Almost everyone I know at the UW seems to have moved there registration from home to the UW. I imagine it's similar at WSU.

[Seattle]

I know this has already been mentioned, but I can't get over the current standing of the 17th Legislative District race...

Probst ahead by 16 votes......

Yeah... That's going to a recount for sure. How's the House race, position 1 doing?

[Seattle]

Your second point is not good... not good at all. Is it possible to primary either Sheldon or Tom in the future?

At least Hargrove and Hatfield respect the Dem leadership....

Also, wasn't there another Hargrove somewhere that was elected to the Senate? Or was that to the House?

[Seattle]

I'm suprised how little the ancestoral Dem. parts of the coast swung to Romney. He barely did better than McCain on the coast (and for that matter in Mason, Kitsap, and Pierce as well).

[Seattle]

Hohoho....
Over a thousand uncounted ballots have been found in Clark County... Could Probst pull it off?
http://www.komonews.com/news/local/Clark-County-finds-more-than-1000-uncounted-votes-179816921.html

[Seattle]

Awesome maps! I wish I had the skills to make those...

It looks like the Kitsap portion of Pierce voted yes on R74, which surprises me...

[Seattle]

I'm amazed that Cantwell can get 60+% of the vote and still lose Whitman/Spokane. Winning Yakima county is surprising, and makes for a cool looking map. Kittitas is also really close, but I don't think there are enough votes for her to win it.

[Seattle]

Very dissapointing that Up Front will be cancelled. Oh well.

I wonder if there are any precincts in Seattle where Stein outperformed Romney?

[Seattle]

Wonderful! Bremerton suburbs =

[Seattle]

Welcome! It would take an 06/08 type of environment to get even a close race with Herrera-Beutler. What did she get this year? 60%? That's impressive considering McMorris Rodgers did only marginally better than her and she's in a considerably more R district.

[Seattle]

I put up some precinct maps from Snohomish County in my precinct map thread.

Those are great! I'm surprised how well Obama did in Monroe. Did it vote for him?

Oh... as for Burgess running... ehh.

[Seattle]

Did Montlake Park swing to Obama? I don't believe he got over 70% there in 2008. I think Skykomish also swung to Obama.

Also... Silly Viewridge County Club lowering Viewridge's Obama percentage.

[Seattle]

Did Montlake Park swing to Obama? I don't believe he got over 70% there in 2008. I think Skykomish also swung to Obama.

Sorry, Montlake Park?  Not sure what you mean.

Oops, I wrote that straight out of bed... Mountlake Terrace. lol.

[Seattle]

Did Montlake Park swing to Obama? I don't believe he got over 70% there in 2008. I think Skykomish also swung to Obama.

Sorry, Montlake Park?  Not sure what you mean.

Oops, I wrote that straight out of bed... Mountlake Terrace. lol.

To answer my own questions, Mountlake Park went from 68.9% Obama to 70.12% Nice. Skykomish went from 66.4% to 69.81%.

Some othern immediate Seattle suburb notes:

Shorline's O percentage decreased by .1 or .2%. Lake Forest Park's fell by about 1%. Bainbridge Island's fell by 2.5%. Tukwila's rose by 2.3%.

[Seattle]

What's really interesting is that South Prairie is so high up there. That's a small town in rural Pierce County, I believe.

[Seattle]

- Pam Roach, Government Operations (!!!)

hahahah oh god oh god oh god

Of all committees, why would they give her that one!? In fact, how in the world does she have enough power to get herself on as a chair?

Poo. That's all I have to say. I forsee gridlock in Washington's future.

[Seattle]

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Lololol. Since when does Eastgate count as a modest neignborhood?

[Seattle]

Could someone do an Obama-Cantwell-Inslee precinct comparison of Yakima County?