Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Seattle]

What are the chances Gluesenkamp Pérez beats Joe Kent? It seems like she is holding her own in Clark County, 59% while Biden won it by 50%, although I'm not sure how the voting methods in WA benefit each side.

In the past, later returns tended to favor Dems, but this seems to be becoming less and less the case with every election. I think Perez is in a very good position to keep this competitive as the later returns come in, but I genuinely have no idea where it will end up.

One thing that's clear about WA-3 is that Perez has built this current lead on both ancestral Dems and ascendent Dems. She's +18 in Clark County (Vancouver), which has been the biggest bright spot for Dems in an otherwise R-shifting area, but she has also kept Cowlitz County to within single digits (for now) and is in the lead in Pacific County, two places which have swung hard to the right since the Obama years.

I seem to recall during the primary Kent was down by quite a lot (to the point where a few people here were already calling it) and then the last ~20% of the vote was absurdly favourable to him. I'm pretty sure they counted the E-Day in person votes last or almost last.

There is no e-day voting in WA. I mean, I guess there is in a technical sense - in that there is typically one location per county (usually the election office) that you can go vote in-person at, but you can go do that at any time. And no one does that.

[Seattle]

There's quite a bit of Flathead County (Kallispell) in MT-1, which the NYT estimate Zinke will gain 6000 vote margin from. So I think it'll be close, but the district is not quite ready to go D.

[Seattle]

Boebert is still down with 87% reporting.

There's a lot of heavy R Mesa County (Grand Junction) that's out. NYT estimates Boebert would net 9,000 votes there. Of course they are not updating some of these races as much now, but I am skeptical she loses.

[Seattle]

What happened in ND Senate? I thought Hoeven would've rolled to another 70% victory, but he's only winning 56 - 25 - 19 (ind).

[Seattle]

Lol at Rosa DeLauro only winning 54-43 in CT-3. Still a bit of vote out, so that might increase a bit, but what an underperformance.

[Seattle]

It would be quite funny if all the congressional Ds hang on in NV, but CCM & Sisolak lose.

Rifle is where Boebert is from.

[Seattle]

WA-3 update: Clark and Lewis counties dumped some new votes. Perez still leads Kent 52.38-47.03 (11.5k votes). This is starting to look like Perez could actually pull this off.

Estimated votes left:
Clark: 70k (updated)
Lewis: 6k (updated)
Cowlitz: 6.3k (updating at 6 PM Pacific)
Thurston: unsure, maybe 4-5k? (updating 6 PM Pacific)
Pacific: IDK, but <2k probably (next updated is not until 11/14)
Skamania: 600 (updated)
Wahkiakum: 300 now, ~450 (next updated 11/10)

Perez's margin did slip in Clark from ~58.5 to 57.8, but her raw margin increased by about 1,000.