Israel General Elections || 23.03.2021

[Adam Griffin]

Likud at 27.1 with 155k votes counted.

[Adam Griffin]

...is this happening?

[Adam Griffin]

So based on the above numbers, is this currently the case?

Code:

Anti-Netanyahu	47.51
Pro-Netanyahu	46.67
Yamina		5.82

[Adam Griffin]

So based on the above numbers, is this currently the case?

Code:

Anti-Netanyahu	47.51
Pro-Netanyahu	46.67
Yamina		5.82

More accurately:

46.67% Pro-Netanyahu
36.84% Anti-Netanyahu
9.18% Arabs
5.82% Yamina.

So no majority for Bibi right now, with a skewed count, but also no majority for a non-Bibi govt. Non-Bibi's vote percent traditionally goes up later in the count but they might need the polls to be off to pass Pro-Bibi without the Arabs but with Yamina.

OK, thanks. I've since deleted my list, but I think it's [Likud + Shas + UTJ + RZ], [JL+RAAM], Yamina, and everybody else?

If so:

Code:

Pro-Netanyahu		45.58%
Anti-Netanyahu		39.80%
Arabs (JL+RAAM)	8.54%	
Yamina			6.08%

[Adam Griffin]

After 1.873M votes counted (%):
Likud: 24.75
Yesh Atid: 12.67
Shas: 8.02
UTJ: 7.22
Blue And White: 6.1
Yamina: 6.08
Beitenu: 6.02
Religious Zionism: 5.59
Joint List: 5.3
Labour: 5.14
New Hope: 4.64
Meretz: 3.74
RAAM: 3.24

RAAM drops just below the 3.25% threshold.

2.220M votes in (~50%):

Code:

Likud 		24.93
Yesh Atid 		12.98
Shas 		7.83
UTJ 			6.86
Blue and White 	6.22
Yamina 		6.21
Beitenu 		5.73
Religious Zion.   5.63
Joint List 		5.28
Labour 		5.22
New Hope 		4.71
Meretz 		3.79
RAAM 		3.10

[Adam Griffin]

Could be wrong in my rounding or my assumption of how Ra'am vote is handled, but...

Code:

Pro-Netanyahu	44.49% (53 seats)
Anti-Netanyahu	43.86% (53 seats)
Yamina		6.06%  (7 seats)
Arabs     	        5.59%  (7 seats)

That's 60-60 I suppose if you assume Yamina goes with Bibi and JL does not.