Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,093
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
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« on: June 02, 2018, 10:18:04 AM » |
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Kemp is definitely going to consolidate a huge share of the non-Cagle/Kemp vote, whether it makes sense from an ideological perspective or not. Like I've said before, Kemp is arguably the more moderate of the two outside of their campaign track-records, but I don't expect most GOP voters know this.
However, mainline GAGOP voters are lobotomized and tend to pick the candidate that has more establishment backing and/or runs the more moderate campaign, and that precedent sets Cagle up for a narrow victory...even if Kemp would be a better ideological fit based on his tenure in office.
Anything can happen in a July run-off, but I'm betting that post-Obama right-wing activist energy has ran out (another good thing for Cagle's sake).
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