Trump approval ratings thread 1.3 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2024, 05:44:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  Trump approval ratings thread 1.3 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.3  (Read 182241 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: March 26, 2018, 12:17:16 PM »

Pretty much everybody who disapproves of Trump's twitter presence is either a) a Democrat who'd disapprove of him regardless or b) an absolute Trump supporter who approves of him but loves to offer up something along the lines of "I definitely don't approve of his Twitter use: see, I'm not an absolute Trump supporter!".
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2018, 04:40:37 AM »

So I figured I'd take a stab at guessing what Trump's approval was in each of those battleground states in the poll and then see what all the states combined would average by weighting them along their share of the 2016 electorate. Without revising anything after projecting each state, my combined "gut number" came out right on (46% approval in the battlegrounds). Mainly just for fun, but maybe it can at least give us some parameters. "TMP" is the Trump approval figure:

Code:
ST	16VOTE	PCTVOTE	TMP
AZ 2.6m 5.7% 50 2.85
CO 2.8m 6.1% 44 2.68
FL 9.5m 20.7% 46 9.52
GA 4.1m 9.0% 48 4.32
MI 4.8m 10.5% 43 4.51
MN 2.9m 6.3% 42 2.65
NV 1.1m 2.4% 44 1.06
NM 0.8m 1.7% 42 0.71
OH 5.5m 12.0% 50 6
PA 6.2m 13.5% 42 5.67
TN 2.5m 5.5% 56 3.08
WI 3.0m 6.6% 43 2.84

T 45.8m 100% 45.9
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2018, 08:55:21 AM »

Florida, Gravis:
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 50%

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 9 queries.