AHCA Impact on 2018 Elections Part II (user search)
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  AHCA Impact on 2018 Elections Part II (search mode)
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Author Topic: AHCA Impact on 2018 Elections Part II  (Read 2086 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: May 06, 2017, 03:47:30 AM »
« edited: May 06, 2017, 03:58:32 AM by Fmr. Pres. Griffin »
Using 538's AHCA approval model, I made this map showing all districts where their model shows AHCA disapproval above 45%. If they all flipped, it'd be 80 seats. The number is very close to an earlier scenario I used (2014 GOP turnout vs 2016 Dem turnout), which flipped 77 seats.




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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2017, 01:31:02 PM »
Quote from: Rust Belt or Die on May 06, 2017, 12:19:52 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griffin on May 06, 2017, 03:47:30 AM
Using 538's AHCA approval model, I made this map showing all districts where their model shows AHCA disapproval above 45%. If they all flipped, it'd be 80 seats. The number is very close to an earlier scenario I used (2014 GOP turnout vs 2016 Dem turnout), which flipped 77 seats.

ACHA 1.0 polled at 17% approval. Do we know when 2.0 went to this nebulous ~45% disapproval?

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