TN-Gov: Karl Dean running, Mark Green out (user search)
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  TN-Gov: Karl Dean running, Mark Green out (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN-Gov: Karl Dean running, Mark Green out  (Read 8350 times)
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: February 27, 2017, 01:10:21 AM »

If you look at several recent elections, the Democrats' biggest obstacle in TN isn't winning in the general election: it's nominating somebody who is a complete nobody/loser because they just so happen to be the first choice on the primary ballot (Mark Clayton, Charlie Brown, Gordon Ball). TN's Democratic primary voting bloc is very low-info, and when combined with either no runoff or a very low threshold for one (I forget which), results in a very high chance that a complete rando gets the nomination based on surname alone.

However, it's worth remembering that at the end of 2010, Democrats did have the Governorship and a majority of the US House seats. Maybe there's still a little bit of swing left there.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2017, 08:43:48 AM »


Well, each of the two declared GOP candidates raised roughly that much or more (and are also independently wealthy), so it's good but not great.

For reference, Haslam raised $13.5 million (+$3.5 million of his own money) in 2010; Bredesen raised about $8 million (+$3 million of his own money) in 2002. Not sure if Dean's independently wealthy but probably anybody he faces will be, and TN has a history of wealthy candidates spending big to support their campaigns. 
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