US uninsured rate continues to plummet, youth signing up most (user search)
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  US uninsured rate continues to plummet, youth signing up most (search mode)
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Author Topic: US uninsured rate continues to plummet, youth signing up most  (Read 2354 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: April 13, 2015, 12:39:36 PM »

One question: have undocumented residents always/ever been included in the former "47 million Americans" figure? If so, then of the remaining uninsured in this country, they are likely 1/3 of that number; Latinos as a whole would be approximately 45% of the uninsured, according to this poll's findings and simple math.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2015, 03:51:11 AM »

One question: have undocumented residents always/ever been included in the former "47 million Americans" figure?

I'm pretty certain they are.

FYI, I looked it up, and it does. According to Kaiser, roughly 20% of the uninsured are non-citizens (my figures wrongly assumed that virtually all did not have insurance), which means that...

Starting point: 47,000,000
Undocumented, uninsured: 9,400,000
Starting point (exc. undocumented): 37,600,000

Net new enrolled: 16,400,000
Enrolled as a % of previously uninsured documented residents/citizens: 44%

Remaining uninsured (exc. undocumented): 21,200,000
Number of Americans (exc. undocumented): 308,000,000

Uninsured rate (exc. undocumented): 6.9%*

*This is of course assuming that the 16.4 million did not previously have healthcare, which likely isn't a realistic assumption
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2015, 04:00:11 AM »

note biggest change is under $36k. if every state did Medicaid expansion then the overall number would be a lot lower
I would imagine that there are several million people living in states that haven't expanded Medicaid that would received healthcare if their states were to agree to medicaid expansion. Do you think the uninsured rate would drop below 10% if that was no longer the case?

Undoubtedly. According to Kaiser, there are roughly 4 million individuals in the states not expanding Medicaid that would qualify. They're really good at what they do, but like sounds like an extremely conservative estimate. Maybe it's just political talking points/inflation for benefit, but the number I've often heard for GA was twice what they have it listed as.

http://kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/the-coverage-gap-uninsured-poor-adults-in-states-that-do-not-expand-medicaid-an-update/

Just bringing these eight states onboard would get a minimum of 3,000,000 more people covered.

950,000 - TX
670,000 - FL
360,000 - NC
280,000 - GA
180,000 - SC
180,000 - AL
170,000 - LA
170,000 - VA
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