GA-AJC: Perdue +2 (user search)
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  GA-AJC: Perdue +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-AJC: Perdue +2  (Read 1421 times)
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: October 24, 2014, 10:49:03 AM »

I think you (and the AJC) mean Swafford, and not Hunt? No way she gets 6%. Even Hunt himself will be doing good to get 5, and probably can due to ethics.

The high percentage of people voting L + the high number of undecideds = garbage.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2014, 10:56:58 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2014, 10:58:45 AM by NE Caretaker Griffin »

I think you (and the AJC) mean Swafford, and not Hunt? No way she gets 6%. Even Hunt himself will be doing good to get 5, and probably can due to ethics.

The high percentage of people voting L + the high number of undecideds = garbage.

Don't like the result = garbage?

Come on dude.

All the polls are basically in the same ballpark, given MOE. And the libertarian has been polling 4-6% almost uniformly. They likely will NOT get there on Election Day.

It's garbage (also known as an outlier). We have a clear trend here from (five?) polls, and this is showing the complete opposite. 7% of the electorate didn't suddenly re-neg on their choice overnight, with an additional 3-5% flipping from one candidate to another. Swafford isn't getting anywhere near 6%; that's patently ridiculous for a race like this and she'll be lucky to pull 2% when the dust settles. Hunt won't even get that, and there's a lot more at work in that race to make such a thing possible.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2014, 11:05:46 AM »

Furthermore, the poll's showing 50/50 male/female; was 45/55 in 2010. Perdue's leading by 15 among males and Nunn 13 among females.

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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2014, 11:10:09 AM »

This reminds me of the Civitas NC poll from yesterday.

More than anything, I'm just infuriated that GA's going to lose its pink status in the USE poll aggregate over this nonsense. Angry
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