Same-sex marriage map by county/state (user search)
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  Same-sex marriage map by county/state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Same-sex marriage map by county/state  (Read 8378 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: December 26, 2013, 10:22:10 PM »
« edited: February 04, 2015, 04:52:25 PM by NE Rep. Griffin »

This is a project that Gass3268 and I worked on many months ago. Once it was finished, he was going to post it but apparently his computer had crashed and it was never given its own thread - we just now figured out this was the case.
 
The map shows the most recent statewide referendum/initiative on same-sex marriage by state; pretty straightforward, really. Alaska and Hawaii's boroughs/counties are colored with the statewide result, but all others are county-by-county. Green is pro-SSM/anti-ban and red is vice-versa.





And one that adjusts the results to compare to the national support/opposition at the time of each state's vote:

Once again, AK/HI are colored solid based on their statewide vote. In this case, I went by the 10-point brackets and did my best to round/approximate by year depending on what the national polls showed. There will inevitably be some cases where a given county might shift into another bracket (if I had redone the map entirely, counting by hand each individual result), but the trend by and large is sound.

Full-size map


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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2013, 01:26:10 AM »

If you know, how recent was that South Dakota measure taken? Its easily sticks out as lighter than its surroundings.

I think the problem with the South Dakota one was because it was worded so badly that ~ 46% voted in favor of gay marriage.

This is probably correct. ND was in 2004 & SD was in 2006, iirc.

It would be interesting to weight the result by the national poll numbers at the time of the vote. I expect it would cause states to stand out less due to the year of the data.

Don't give me any ideas Sad
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2015, 03:06:53 AM »
« Edited: February 04, 2015, 04:34:18 PM by NE Rep. Griffin »

It would be interesting to weight the result by the national poll numbers at the time of the vote. I expect it would cause states to stand out less due to the year of the data.

Don't give me any ideas Sad

I had an idea! Tongue Here it is:

Once again, AK/HI are colored solid based on their statewide vote. In this case, I went by the 10-point brackets and did my best to round/approximate by year depending on what the national polls showed. There will inevitably be some cases where a given county might shift into another bracket (if I had redone the map entirely, counting by hand each individual result), but the trend by and large is sound.

Full-size map

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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2015, 04:26:40 PM »

If it wins the county with Cincinnati, it wins the county with Louisville.

Hamilton County, OH: 56% against
Jefferson County, KY: 60% against
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2015, 04:38:04 PM »

If it wins the county with Cincinnati, it wins the county with Louisville.

Hamilton County, OH: 56% against
Jefferson County, KY: 60% against

Both in 2004???

Remember, the suburbs of Cincinnati are far more conservative than the city.

That doesn't seem to matter here, apparently (does Jefferson, KY even have suburbs?).

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/KY/I/01/county.002.html
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/I/01/county.001.html

Even odder is the fact that Hamilton County has a larger black population than Jefferson County, KY. It was quite common for blacks to be heavily against SSM pre-Obama endorsement; they were the most "out of step" reason as to why Prop 8 passed in CA.



In addition, I have updated the map with NC's adjustments; I swear I did them, but maybe they weren't saved the first time. In any case, NC's results now are now accurate in comparison to national support in 2012.
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