How much of the white vote in these Southern cities did Obama receive in 2008? (user search)
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  How much of the white vote in these Southern cities did Obama receive in 2008? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How much of the white vote in these Southern cities did Obama receive in 2008?  (Read 920 times)
Adam Griffin
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Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: August 12, 2013, 09:16:19 PM »

Obama received 80.7% of the overall vote in Atlanta. If we assume non-whites went for Obama 90/10 (very likely considering the demographic weight of AAs; 51% of population versus 9% for other non-whites), then Obama would have received about 66% of the white vote in 2008.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2013, 01:34:41 AM »
« Edited: August 13, 2013, 01:38:04 AM by GM Griffin »

I should probably mention that the numbers above (and below) are inferred from DR data solely. In most cases, I'd think 2008 was a relatively good year in terms of electorate resembling VAP, or as good as it could get given the circumstances. Estimates shouldn't be off by any large amount, so...

Atlanta, GA: 65-70%
New Orleans, LA: 55-60%
Raleigh, NC: 50-55%

Charlotte, NC: 40-45%
Nashville, TN: 40-45%
Birmingham, AL: 30-35%
Memphis, TN: 25-30%
Jacksonville, FL: 20-25%
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2013, 05:33:08 AM »

Based on what I calculated off DRA, it is more like 44-48% in the city of Nashville. It is important to remember that not all of Davidson County is Nashville, and the parts that aren't Nashville are usually very Republican.

Well darn. Sad It looked fishy but I didn't really want to try to splice it all together not knowing the exact circumstances. Augusta and Columbus are the same way - what about Jacksonville?

From what I gather, everyone in Duval County (including the four other municipalities) still gets to vote in Jacksonville elections and receives select public services from the city.
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