Which state will be first to go Democrat on a national level? (user search)
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  Which state will be first to go Democrat on a national level? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
Texas
 
#2
Georgia
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Which state will be first to go Democrat on a national level?  (Read 2836 times)
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,090
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E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: June 26, 2012, 03:03:02 AM »

Georgia, as mentioned, has a much larger African-American population than Texas and makes our minority voting bloc much stronger; I believe as of 2010 Georgia now has more African-Americans than any other state in nominal terms. Our African-American population is also growing at a pretty brisk rate - Black Mecca.

We also have a Latino community comprising around 8% of the population. I saw some Census projections on here a couple of months ago and the trend from 1990-2010 and based on that, Georgia could become a majority-minority state as early as 2020, although closer to 2025 is more likely.

If Latinos continue to be galvanized to the Democratic Party, then it's possible that Texas could flip sooner, but I still think Georgia - with a white Democrat running for President - could flip in 2016.
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