Super Tuesday county maps

[Adam Griffin]

I'm also going to do Tennessee. None of the other states seem very predictable or interesting (besides Georgia, but that'd be a mess of all the counties and because I'm not sure where exactly Gingrich's suppose base is in the state.)

It's a mess, but here's a rough outline of what I'm thinking. I could be wrong, but I don't think Santorum will carry more than a couple of rogue counties with maybe 28-30% of the vote. I haven't even seen a Santorum ad here.



Newt's old congressional base is centered due north of Atlanta (Bartow, Cherokee, Forsyth), but he'll probably do better in some of the more conservative areas to the north and west of it, as well as in the southeastern interior.

[Adam Griffin]

Nice map! I was kind of thinking along those general guidelines but pinning down the Santorum areas is hard.

But here's Tennessee:

Nice one. I'm actually rethinking mine some and it would line up more with how yours looks when connecting the borders; Santorum has been in my area (NW Georgia) several times and the area is very, very conservative. There's some anti-Newt attitude here, but it's kinda prevalent throughout the whole state so I don't know if it's an abnormally high amount of sentiment or not. There's also a complete domination of Newt in the Chattanooga media market, so who knows.

[Adam Griffin]

I guess I know my state pretty well...

I wish I could say the same:

[Adam Griffin]

I guess I know my state pretty well...

I wish I could say the same:

We both overestimated Romney's support a bit, yeah, but considering we had 159 counties to predict I'd say we did fairly well

There's definitely a lot of little microcosms here, but I think the Santorum/Gingrich split caused some unpredictable outcomes. Yeah, geez, I really was still expecting Romney to crack 27-28%. I guess we can at least be grateful that we don't have to deal with coloring Texas!