Freak Voter Turnouts... (user search)
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Author Topic: Freak Voter Turnouts...  (Read 7520 times)
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: February 11, 2004, 06:08:37 PM »

Just saw that the voters of Wyoming turned out in droves for Nixon in 1972, all 105% of 'em! Smiley Does anyone know of more such weird examples? There is also Montana in 2000, where the % of registered voters voting was 59%, and the % of VAP voting was 61%, meaning that the number of registered voters was slightly higher than the number of residents with the right to vote! Smiley

Anyone know anout more such examples?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2004, 06:13:36 PM »

Just saw that the voters of Wyoming turned out in droves for Nixon in 1972, all 105% of 'em! Smiley Does anyone know of more such weird examples? There is also Montana in 2000, where the % of registered voters voting was 59%, and the % of VAP voting was 61%, meaning that the number of registered voters was slightly higher than the number of residents with the right to vote! Smiley

Anyone know anout more such examples?

Texas in '60.  The Democrats had the Damn cattle voting, I swear.

In that same election, the Reps had a very successful GOTV effort going, getting a 106% of registered voters in Indiana out to the polls, and a whopping 117% (!) in Ohio. Smiley
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2004, 06:33:20 PM »

Just saw that the voters of Wyoming turned out in droves for Nixon in 1972, all 105% of 'em! Smiley Does anyone know of more such weird examples? There is also Montana in 2000, where the % of registered voters voting was 59%, and the % of VAP voting was 61%, meaning that the number of registered voters was slightly higher than the number of residents with the right to vote! Smiley

Anyone know anout more such examples?

Texas in '60.  The Democrats had the Damn cattle voting, I swear.

In that same election, the Reps had a very successful GOTV effort going, getting a 106% of registered voters in Indiana out to the polls, and a whopping 117% (!) in Ohio. Smiley

Acctually though, the freakishly high voter turns out occured in largely Democrat disterics.  That isn't partisanship on my part, that is a fact, you can look it up.  Nixon considered challenging the results the night of the election but decided not to.  Some area in Texas, IL, Ohio and NJ had 150% voter turnout!

OK, I believe you, I was just looking at state totals, and these were the ones exceeding 100%. I was assuming it was GOP since they won them, and both Indiana and Ohio have been GOP leaning in those days.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2004, 12:08:09 PM »

The last time the 1960 election was discussed, the conclusion was reahced that both sides cheated a lot, and in the end it probably evened out.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2004, 03:16:05 PM »

The law in florida is that ex-felons who were incarcerated in Florida are not allowed to vote.

If they wre incarcerated in states like NY, then they have a right to vote according to the law of NY, and the law of FL doesn't exclude them.

(Maybe they have changed the law since though, I wouldn't be surprised)

Also, ommitting names from the list is shocking. I remember a case where Johnny ABC Jr. was excluded because John M. ABC was an ex-felon. No relation, differentr middle names, first names, and a suffix on one, yet they were considered the same person...how is that fair?

Also, they have incarceration dates on some people as in the future, and a huge percentage were just missing entirely (meaning there was no actual proof that they were ever incarcerated)

Okay, here's one for you.  This should have been a big event, but it was over shaddowed by Florida:

Here in PA, we have a motor voter registration.  The day of the election, it was discovered 'mysteriously' that the motor voter registrations had 'disappeared'.  This disscounted some 300,000 voters.  Why is this big news?  Because most people who lost their RIGHT TO VOTE were Republicans.  Most people who register on the Motor-voter system are between the ages of 18 & 35.  This is the ONLY demographic in PA that voted mostly Republican by about 60%-40%.  Yet this got very little attention because of Florida and because they never were able to figure-out who was responsible.

Gore won PA by a margin of 200 000 votes, 60%-40%=20%, 0.20*300 000=60 000, not nearly enough to swing the state. There was probably some cheating going on with both sides, the best guess is that it evened out some overall.
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