Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,782
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
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« on: December 13, 2007, 05:08:35 PM » |
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Huckabee: 35%
Guliani: 30%
Romney: 25%
McCain: 9%
Thompson: 1%
Or something like that...I'll note that Romney is lower on my list than on many others'. My reason for this is that I expect him to be weaker in the long run. If Guliani gets knocked out I'd expect Huckabee rather than Romney to carry through. If Huckabee fizzles I'd have Guliani as the favourite. And I actually think it's more likely to be a battle between Guliani and Huckabee with Romney getting left out. But it's very much in the air at this stage. All of the top 3 have great assest and great liabilities, big enough to seemingly rule them out or seal their nomination.
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