It's Early Days But Clinton Has A Lock On The Dem Nomination

[Gustaf]

Clinton does not have a lock. I still think Obama will win in the end.

and you call ME a crazy optimist...

Well I wasn't the guy going around saying Rick Perry was going to lose and that the MS Senate race would be competetive.

I never really said/thought that Rick Perry would lose.  I realize that I had TX red on my prediction map, so I don't really have a leg to stand on, but I never truly thought that Chris Bell would win.  It did think it was possible, but only a longshot.
However, in the early days of the race, I was adamant that Perry would come in second, while most people on the forum thought he would come in fourth, and in the single digits.  So I actually nailed the TX race better than most people.

As for MS...<shrugs>  I guess I just convinced myself that maybe Fleming could make a run for it.  Fleming could've broken 40%, if he had, ya know, positive cash on hand at any point during the race.

Who said that? I know I didn't and I can't remember anyone else predicting it either (besides maybe Vlad, but he was also a crazy optimist).

I still hold Hillary as the favourite but with the money race more or less even Obama is definitely in the race. Edwards has a sliver of a chance, but it all hinges on him winning Iowa. If he can pull that off he's in the race, otherwise he's dead.