The Irony Scenerio (user search)
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Author Topic: The Irony Scenerio  (Read 2150 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: July 04, 2004, 08:30:28 AM »

While it is true that the EC benefits small states there is also winner-takes-all, which I believe work for the Democrats due to their strength in big states. Also, the size of state-majorities and turnout in different states are also very important. I suspect Democratic areas often have lower turnout? If you look at all factors there is not all that much supporting the theory that the EC benefts the Republicans a lot...Gore was only a few hundred votes from winning in 2000, it could very easily have been reversed back then.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2004, 12:41:23 PM »

When I was crunching the numbers for the 36,000 figure I gave earlier, I also crunched winner take all numbers with EV proportional to population and Gore would have won 269.12-268.88.

You mean it'd have been a 269-269 tie and Bush would have won it in the house? Tongue

And did all states get EVs in this system of yours?
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