WA: Rasmussen: Incumbent Cantwell (D) lead narrows against McGavick (R) in Washington (user search)
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  WA: Rasmussen: Incumbent Cantwell (D) lead narrows against McGavick (R) in Washington (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA: Rasmussen: Incumbent Cantwell (D) lead narrows against McGavick (R) in Washington  (Read 1612 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: September 24, 2006, 01:16:59 PM »

McGavick is a lamb that has been sacrificed to fill ballot space against a very popular Democratic incumbent in a Democratic state. Most of the narrowing polls are just pre-election anti-incumbent agnst that a lot of popular incumbents endure. In the end, the Democratic base will put Cantwell way over the top against her very lousy opponent. Predicition:

Maria Cantwell: 53.6%
Mike McGavick: 44.1%
Aaron Dixon: 2.3%


But Perry and Lieberman are going down, right?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2006, 10:31:50 AM »


It's ridiculous to say that an incumbent you like will GAIN votes because she's an incumbent, but at the same time claim that incumbents you dislike will LOSE votes for no particular reason. Perry for instance is way ahead of Cantwell. Lieberman probably is too.
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