KERRY CLAIMS VICTORY

[Gustaf]

micheal, i was just wondering if you voted in the non binding dc primary! hell yeah KERRY FOR PRESIDENT

Read his signature...he's a European, who lives in London!

[Gustaf]

we need to get those international avators up

Yeah, I agree!

[Gustaf]

Gustaf who do you support if you could vote

I am not sure, but leaning towards Edwards. I did a political tests, and I think Kerry came up as the best match for me, so I am fine with him as well.

[Gustaf]

I love England, my favourite country beside my own.

[Gustaf]

I like Blair a lot more than I like Bush, but that's just gut feeling.

[Gustaf]

I'm delighted with Edwards strong performance in Iowa. 32% is more than I had thought he would get
Well done to Kerry, goodbye Gephardt and Dean... what were you thinking?

So am I! The real schocker is that Dean and Gephardt did so poorly. Dean has to win New Hampshire, or he's done.

[Gustaf]

Wow, what a race...all of a sudden Kerry and Edwards, both of whom had been given up on and left for dead, are major contenders. I really like Edwards a lot...I think he would be the strongest candidate against Bush. He would be the most difficult for Karl Rove to run against. He's got an optimistic message, and is from the South, and is a moderate Democrat. All along they were planning on running against an angry northeastern liberal, but with Edwards Bush's task is a bit more difficult.

Dean has to win New Hampshire in order to remain a viable contender. Everybody else has to finish at least 3rd...I think after New Hampshire the race will be down to 3 major candidates left.

Do you think Edwards is out if he finishes 4th? Or that Clark is if he finishes 3rd? Otherwise, all four (Dean, Edwards, Kerry and Clark) could remain in the running at least for the Feb 3rd primaries.

[Gustaf]

Dean has to win New Hampshire, or he's done.

He has to win solidly. A narrow win won't cut it, IMO.

That depends on how the polls turn-out. If it looks like he's done and he still manages to come through in the end, it might get spun as a come-back and save his campaign. But I agree that he really needs a solid win.

[Gustaf]

Wow, what a race...all of a sudden Kerry and Edwards, both of whom had been given up on and left for dead, are major contenders. I really like Edwards a lot...I think he would be the strongest candidate against Bush. He would be the most difficult for Karl Rove to run against. He's got an optimistic message, and is from the South, and is a moderate Democrat. All along they were planning on running against an angry northeastern liberal, but with Edwards Bush's task is a bit more difficult.

Dean has to win New Hampshire in order to remain a viable contender. Everybody else has to finish at least 3rd...I think after New Hampshire the race will be down to 3 major candidates left.

Do you think Edwards is out if he finishes 4th? Or that Clark is if he finishes 3rd? Otherwise, all four (Dean, Edwards, Kerry and Clark) could remain in the running at least for the Feb 3rd primaries.

It depends on what kind of 4th place finish he scores. I still think he'll stay in until SC regardless.  A 4th place finish just makes it tougher to win SC.  If he can come in 4th and still win SC, I think he's fine.

The most recent poll I've seen shows Edwards at 8%, 11% behind Clark, so getting a better result than 4th will be hard for him.

[Gustaf]

Dean has to win New Hampshire, or he's done.

He has to win solidly. A narrow win won't cut it, IMO.

That depends on how the polls turn-out. If it looks like he's done and he still manages to come through in the end, it might get spun as a come-back and save his campaign. But I agree that he really needs a solid win.

I don't get that feeling. Dean was leading by 30 points at one point for crying out loud. A narrow 2 or 3 point win over Kerry couldn't be spun as a big win for Dean.  At least Kerry can say that he has shown that he can be a player in the midwest and the northeast if he comes in a close second in NH after a first place win in Iowa.

I hope you're right, b/c Dean will not win solidly. Kerry is onle behind by 8% or so, and that's before the Iowa results came into play. Dean will probably go down even more.  

[Gustaf]

NHpolitico, instead of puttting like 10 posts in a row, why dont u just modify them. no offense or anything but its kinda annoying, sry

Sorry, NH, have to agree there. It does get kind of annoying. Maybe you could read some posts, and then include your responses to them in one post.

[Gustaf]

prymaid building? i dont mean to get u mad im just putting it out there for u

He's talking to me...I'm sorry NH, I don't really mind a lot, and I see your point. It's fine by me, you came up with a good argument for your way, and I can't think of a good counter-argument right now...

So, post the way you want. And no hard feelings I hope?

[Gustaf]

prymaid building? i dont mean to get u mad im just putting it out there for u

He's talking to me...I'm sorry NH, I don't really mind a lot, and I see your point. It's fine by me, you came up with a good argument for your way, and I can't think of a good counter-argument right now...

So, post the way you want. And no hard feelings I hope?

No hard feelings, man.

Good. I try to avoid making enemies. I think Edwards is showing that a positive message goes a long way...

[Gustaf]

edwards is the only candidate running on a positive message.

No there's me as well, with my smilies! You can attack me for it if you want, but love will win in the end, lol...

[Gustaf]

SWEEP SWEEP SWEEP. Add TN and VA  to the 12 out of 14 wins for John Kerry. It's over baby

I heard something interesting. That if Kerry only just gets about 30-35% in every state the rest of the way, that the race is mathematically over right now.

Sounds unlikely, really, but since he has a majority already and will continue to win bigger and bigger the race is now over.

[Gustaf]

The only way I see Kucinich winning a state is if Edwards & Dean both drop and Kerry dies.  Even then it is questionable.

Yeah, Sharpton would beat Kucinich in a head-to-head matchup...