On summer polls.... (user search)
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  On summer polls.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: On summer polls....  (Read 3753 times)
Gustaf
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Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: June 25, 2006, 08:30:06 AM »

Since Vorlon is no longer here I thought I would remind some newbies of his old words of wisdom: "All summer polls that aren't Mason-Dixon should be immediately burned". (or something to that extent)

They tend to a) favour Democrats and b) be generally wrong.
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2006, 04:07:29 PM »

Though no one seems to want to say it out loud, people with more money tends to go away on vacation when they're not working, while people with no money can't afford to do so and therefore sit around at home. Needless to say, the rich tend to vote more Republican, hence, Republicans get under-sampled in the summer.

Mason-Dixon is just that good, I think. Smiley
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: July 04, 2006, 07:57:15 AM »


Ha. Really. If some of you want to worship him as your polling god have fun with that. I'd rather not.

While I do not always agree on him, he is very knowledgeable.  Where is your disagreement with what he is saying?

I disagree with his idea that Mason-Dixon is the only polling outfit of any value during the summer.



Do you ever base your so-called disagreements on anything? I mean, other than wanting it to be a certain way?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2006, 06:31:38 AM »


Ha. Really. If some of you want to worship him as your polling god have fun with that. I'd rather not.

While I do not always agree on him, he is very knowledgeable.  Where is your disagreement with what he is saying?

I disagree with his idea that Mason-Dixon is the only polling outfit of any value during the summer.



Do you ever base your so-called disagreements on anything? I mean, other than wanting it to be a certain way?

Yeah I base it on looking in trends in all polls instead of putting blind faith in in one organization because "everyone else oversamples democrats". How does Rasmussen over sample Democrats?

So looking in trends in all polls is how you know what polls are good and what are bad? I'm not sure I understand that reasoning.

And I've never said that Rasmussen oversamples Democrats, so I'm not sure where you get that idea. Unlike Sam Spade I think Rasmussen is fairly good, but I still prefer better polls, such as M-D.

I have stated arguments as to why certain polls are not to be trusted or why summer polls are less reliable. But you're just stating that you disagree.
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