Actually, the perception about PA is based largely on the two college polls that should probably be thrown out. Strategic Vision has Santorum +2 compared to last poll, Quinnipac has him -2. We'll see what Rasmussen says first, but is isn't a given that Santorum is gaining yet.
Eh, Quinnipiac is a college poll also, but one that seems to get more street cred around here (though their 2004 numbers in PA were much like their's in NJ, i.e., all over the map).
Fact is, Pennsylvania is a state which polls normally and where most polls (even Zogby, not Interactive) should be trusted. Also a range of 6% and 13% is well within the MOE of itself and would place the race at somewhere between +9% and +10%, which feels right to me.
Anyway, let's just wait until Mason-Dixon polls here again. I'd even take SUSA in this case (though their results are much more volatile).
First off, Quinnipac has been verified by the Great Vorlon as not the same trash as other Uni polls.
Secondly, unless a poll is really, really bad you can always use it for trend analysis, which is what I was doing.
Now, it's obvious that Santorum has gained compared to when he was down by 15%, but I'm not sure he's pulling away from 10% towards 6% yet.
