2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 169520 times)
Gustaf
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Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: November 13, 2019, 08:52:58 AM »

RRH has new Senate ratings: Cory Gardner now an underdog

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/11/09/rrh-elections-november-2019-senate-rankings/

RRH also thinks Rhode Island is the safest Senate seat in the country. Trigger warning for Atlas

The ratings for competitive races seemed fine to me but the ranking for safe states struck me as off.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2019, 11:03:12 AM »

While those of us who dislike Trump are going to find Stefanik’s transformation into a hardcore Trumpist cringeworthy and shallow, it’s (unfortunately) not a bad electoral strategy in a district that is trending Republican and went pretty strongly Republican in 2016. Republicans seem to understand better than Democrats how important base turnout is these days, and that merely being “moderate” doesn’t woo hoards of swing voters.

I feel a distinction here is that while the Republican coalition is overwhelmingly conservative the Democratic one is a mix of liberals and moderates.
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