Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (user search)
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 133529 times)
Gustaf
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Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: October 19, 2018, 03:18:33 AM »

Is there anywhere that tracks partisan or demographic turnout compared to 2014/2016?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2018, 06:16:33 AM »

Do I remember correctly that young non-whites tend to register as Indies a lot more?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2018, 06:51:51 AM »

Yeah, I was gonna say the top list seems to have a lot to do with having competitive statewide races now and not in 2014.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2018, 12:41:36 PM »

Top 10 early voting states so far compared to 2014 totals:

1. Tennessee: 151.9% (Taylor Swift effect?)
2. Texas: 136.1% (Beto effect?)
3. Indiana: 127.9%
4. Nevada: 114.4%
5. Georgia: 108.8%
6. Minnesota: 106%
7. Delaware: 103.2%
8. North Carolina: 94.9%
9. New Mexico: 93.5%
10. Montana & Louisiana: 87.6%

35th and last: Oregon at 23.9%

Only 35 states have numbers/percentages so far. I guess most of the other states (including Arizona) don't have early voting or it hasn't started yet.

Numbers from electproject.org

With Indiana being #3 on this list... Is the more fervent support for Braun or Donnelly (or the Libertarian)?  I thought this race was somewhat of a sleeper- surprised to see it getting such a high early vote.  How do ppl on the ground in Indiana view this large early vote?

Same question for TN?  How do ppl on the ground view the large early vote?  (Energy for Blackburn, Energy against Blackburn, energy to save Bredesen's campaign, is more of the early vote coming from Nashville/ or from Blackburn's district?)

Similar answer - there was no competitive governor or senate race happening there in 2014.
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