Watch out for Gustaf.. he's a killer.. ![Cheesy](https://talkelections.org/FORUM/Smileys/classic/cheesy.gif)
Hey! I'm a nice guy...
![Sad](https://talkelections.org/FORUM/Smileys/classic/sad.gif)
I think that any state that is 8% or lower is not strong...a swing of 4% would win it for Kerry, that's not much. A margin of say 52-48 would be enough to put Arkansas in play, for instance. And there are signs of VA trending Dem.
Personally I think that a state must have a MoV of at least 10% to be considered strong. But we all have different defintions...I don't know if I remembered to welcome you to the forum, if not I will now.
![Smiley](https://talkelections.org/FORUM/Smileys/classic/smiley.gif)
Welcome to the forum.
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