Did Clinton do as well as expected on ST? (user search)
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  Did Clinton do as well as expected on ST? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did Clinton do as well as expected on ST?  (Read 4839 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: March 02, 2016, 08:27:24 AM »

There isn't really a discussion here. Sanders got crushed. He is basically performing like Romney v Obama within each racial group. That wasn't enough to win in a general election electorate and it's sure as hell won't cut it in a Democratic primary.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2016, 11:06:20 AM »

Let's dismiss this notion that Sanders only does well among white liberals. Only the white bit is true - whether they were liberal or not was more or less irrelevant.
Margin among white voters by state:

Arkansas: Clinton +27
Georgia: Clinton +17
Texas: Clinton +16
Tennessee: Clinton +15
Virginia: Clinton +15
Alabama: Clinton +12
South Carolina: Clinton +8
Iowa: Clinton +3

Massachusetts: Sanders +1
Nevada: Sanders +2
Oklahoma: Sanders +20
New Hampshire: Sanders +24
Vermont: Sanders +73

Lets dispel the notion that Sanders does well among whites.  He does alright with them, but he loses them as much as wins them.

Good job! I was wondering about this just now. With the numbers he's pulling among minority voters he needs to do a lot, lot better among white voters than he is.
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