What 2000 states are you most worried about your canidate losing?

[Gustaf]

Pennsylvania, of course. Then New Mexico, then Minnesota, then Wisconsin then Oregon then Iowa. Unless Kerry really mess things up he shouldn't lose anything more than that.

[Gustaf]

yes, robert e. lee's immediate homeland is DNC country.

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.  n'est-ce pas?

the anti-paradox

What is an anti-paradox?

[Gustaf]

well, I suppose I'm making up words, but 'the opposite of a paradox' is what I was going for.  If I put you to sleep in 1859, and woke you up a hundred fifty years later, you'd say, look northern virginia is still dnc country.  that sort of thing.  "the more things change, the more they stay the same" is a common quebecois saying.

Ah, OK, now I'm with you.

[Gustaf]

I have now 'decided' that 7 states are the true tossups: FL, NM, NH, PA, OH, WV and WI. If you leave those out, Bush have 222 EVs, Kerry 224 as a base. It'll probably something like 295-243 in the end to Bush.