Colorado: another nail in the elctral collg coffin (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 09:12:16 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  Colorado: another nail in the elctral collg coffin (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Colorado: another nail in the elctral collg coffin  (Read 8454 times)
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,144
United States


« on: August 18, 2004, 05:53:45 PM »

The results depend a lot on how the left over fractions are divied up.  I just calculated assuming that if a candidate gets between k/n and (k+1)/n of a state's votes where n is the number of electoral votes the state has, then a candidate receives k electoral votes, with the left over electoral vote(s) a state has being received by whoever gets the most votes.  Under this method of "winner takes all fractions" the 2000 results would have been:
  Bush 274
  Gore: 261
  Nader: 3
Logged
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2004, 11:05:54 PM »

This is a poor way to do this allocation.  It should really be done the same way the census allocates congressional seats (and electoral votes) to the states, which I believe is the "truncate-plus-largest-remainders" method described earlier.  

In the case of CO above, both Nader and Gore were much closer to getting the final electoral vote than Bush, yet it is still awarded to Bush.  

With a large field, the distribution could get even stranger.

Consider a 5-candidate field in a state with 10 EVs:
A - 36%
B - 24%
C - 14%
D - 13%
E - 3 %

Under the "Colorado" system, the EVs would be allocated like this:

A - 6
B - 2
C - 1
D - 1
E - 0

While under the "truncate-plus-remainder" system, they would work out this way:

A - 4
B - 3
C - 2
D - 1
E - 0

Which seems much more logical to me.

Congressional approtionment uses the method of equal proportions which is based on the geometric mean and depends upon each state getting at least one representative.  However you could use it for proportioning the electoral votes of a state if the you set some other method for determining when a candidate gets his first electoral vote.  The easiest way would be to use 1 as the multiplier to determine the priority value of the first electoral  vote for that candidate.  (The multiplier for  the nth vote is 1/sqrt(n(n-1)) which is the same as used for the nth representative that each state gets.

For the five candidate race you gave, the method of equal proportions gives the same result as the truncate plus remainder method, but that would not be the case for all possible results.
 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.