NYT: Downballot Republicans running for the hills

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

If absolutely everything that could go wrong for the GOP did, the absolute worst case scenario I can see for them is losing 29 House seats, which would still leave them with a 218-217 majority.  That would effectively make the House practically ungovernable, and we'd see a new Speaker. Ryan isn't dumb enough to think he'd have anything but grief if he remained as Speaker, even if no one directly challenged him for the job.  230-205 is more likely unless voters decide not merely to abandon Trump, but also the GOP in significant quantity.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Few are saying the GOP is a lock to hold the House. However, due to gerrymandering the national Dem House vote can't fall more than a few points behind Hillary for a flip, and few GOP Congresscritters are as unpopular with their constituents as Trump is.

More than a few ought to say the GOP is a lock.  Even with a ten point swing in House races and factoring in Democrats doing even better than that in open seats no longer defended by a Republican incumbent, you just barely get close to a tied House.  We're not seeing in the polls a ten point presidential swing, let alone in the downballot races.  The Democrats should make gains, but their focus for this election needs to be the Senate and possibly some State Houses, if they are in a condition to be flipped.