538 Model Megathread

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Even tho she has no chance of pulling out a win for herself, Clinton should consider helping out Kander in Missouri, probably by having some of her more likeable surrogates campaign and/or fundraise there with Kander.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Is anyone else waiting on the inclusion of the recent Utah poll in the 538 model? It's close to a 3 way tie, and I'm wondering how the model will handle that. Of course it is only one data point, but it should produce some major changes.

FiveThirtyEight's model isn't set up to handle McMullin well, but no the poll hasn't been added yet.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

So it looks like that of the aggregators, Nate turned out to be the least wrong. Why that was is sure to provide the fodder for a lot of articles on that site.