Gingrich Thinks Hillary Could Win in 2008

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I’ll admit that Sen. Hillary has managed to improve herself politically to the point that if she ran she should be able to comfortably hold onto the core Democratic States (new England less NH and Maine CD 2, New York, Delmardic, Illinois, and California) and thus get a minimum of 156 EV's, so she wouldn’t go down in Mondalesque flames, but I don’t think she has yet reached the point where she would likely win if she ran. 2004 showed that for now, if both parties energize their bases, the GOP has a slight edge in Presidential politics.  Hillary needs either a terrible economy in 2008 or the GOP to pick a crummy candidate to gain the victory. There is also the Governor factor to consider, which is that Governors generally do better than Senators in Presidential politics.

Finally, there is the Bill factor.  Rumors that he might get a UN post seem unfounded.  The next Secretary-General will almost certainly be an Asian (Thai Foreign Minister Surakiart Sathirathai is the odds-on favorite).  The two UN posts below Secretary-General that I could see a former US President filling, Deputy S-G, and UN High Commissioner of Human Rights are both currently filled by Canadians making it extremely unlikely that a North American would be their successor.  With him not safely ensconsed in some meaningless UN job, Bill would cast a shadow on any Hillary administration, as people would be constantly asking “What Would Bill Do?” every time something major came up.  To be crass about it, before Hillary makes her run for the White House, she needs Bill to eat one cheeseburger too many and croak.