True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,144
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« on: March 21, 2005, 09:46:06 AM » |
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Whie I agree with nini2287 that the probable ticket would be Edwards/Clark, I don't hold as rosy a view of its impact:
Edwards/Clark 289 EV 50.4%PV
Bush/Cheney 269 EV 48.5%PV
Nader/Camejo 0 EV 0.5%PV (a slight increase from what happened)
Anything more than that would require something like one of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth being the assassin to affect the election by more than this.
However the down ticket effect would also be significant with Knowles, Castor, Mongiardo, Bowles, and Daschle all winning their Senate seats, causing the Senate to be split evenly, but switching over to the Democratic control when Vice President Clark is sworn in. In the House the Dems only pick up 3 seats comapared to what happened due tio the fact that the sympathy doesn't resonate down the ticket that far and there were so few close House races to begin with.
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