SC-Winthrop: Graham's sexuality is questioned.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It's a typo of course, but I couldn't resist.

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804

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All: 47.3% approve, 33.7% disapprove

RV: 48.4% approve, 36.3% disapprove

GOP: 71.6% approve, 16.4% disapprove

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Thats rather unfortunate.

Which, the typo or that Graham looks to have no real problems in being reelected.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

SC is also an inelastic state.  It appears within reach for Democrats, but voters there are very heavy set in their voting, and it's almost completely race-based (blacks 85-95% Dem whites 75-85% GOP)

A white democrat could still potentially win a statewide race there, and demographic shifts will certainly put the state in play in the future.

That said, Graham is safe.

Sheheen is the only white Democrat right now with a reasonable shot at winning a statewide office other than Superintendent of Education.  However, if he runs in 2014, it'll be for a rematch with Haley.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

They may try, probably with a State Senator who is just trying to gain some name recognition, but I can't see them succeeding.  (A State Senator because State Senators don't have to risk their existing office to run in gubernatorial election years.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

You'll note that they did not mention the upstate in that ad, and its not just because there isn't much that is touristy there.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

April poll has been released, with the same typo.  Graham has taken a big hit among GOP voters since February.  Still more than good enough for him to coast to reelection, provided he doesn't keep falling.

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All: 44.8% approve, 35.6% disapprove

RV: 43.9% approve, 39.8% disapprove

GOP: 57.5% approve, 30.5% disapprove