Gravis poll MO (user search)
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« on: August 26, 2012, 10:19:28 PM »

"On the whole, about 80% of individuals disagree with the statement, with about 61% of likely Romney voters indicating disagreement and 82% of likely Obama voters."

I may be dense here, but how is that mathematically possible in a poll where Romney leads by 17?

Looking at the crosstabs, it's apparent that whoever wrote the statement has mixed some numbers up.

The 61% and 82% are not of likely Romney and Obama voters respectively.

The 61% is the percentage of Republican voters who are both likely Romney voters and disagree with the statement.

The 82% is the percentage of Democratic voters who are both like Obama voters and disagree with the statement.

I'll do a little number crunching to get the percentages they should have given.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2012, 10:49:27 PM »

Okay if I'm weighting the Dem's, Rep's and Ind's correctly, I'm getting from the crosstabs that:

95% of Obama supporters disagree with Akin's statement
70 or 71% of Romney supporters disagree  (It's too close to the round off for me to be sure given I'm uncertain as to the weightings.)

91 or 92% of Democrats disagree
67 or 68% of Republicans disagree
85% of Independents disagree
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