CA: Field Research Corporation: Obama+18 among LV

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Obama voters: 79% for candidate, 20% against opponent
Romney voters: 36% for candidate, 60% against opponent

Ouch.

Why ouch?

Obama's the incumbent.  It's only natural that most voters will be basing their vote for or against him.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Obama voters: 79% for candidate, 20% against opponent
Romney voters: 36% for candidate, 60% against opponent

Ouch.

Why ouch?

Obama's the incumbent.  It's only natural that most voters will be basing their vote for or against him.

Yet there's the fact that more Obama voters are for him than are Romney's voters for him.  I'm not quite sure how that can be considered very positive for Romney.

No reason to think its a negative tho.  It's not as if Romney has campaigned in California so as to give people a chance to base their vote on him.  Anyone have some comparable numbers from July 2004 to see how many of Kerry's supporters were planning on voting for him or against the incumbent Bush?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I note that poll you found was from mid-August 2004 after the DNC had been held and it was a a national poll, which meant more of the respondents would have been exposed to campaigning about Kerry than Californians would have about Romney.  While that probably doesn't explain the full difference, it is a factor.

However, this also suggests that Romney's current level of support is probably a floor.  After all, the people who plan to vote for him because of their opinion of Obama are unlikely to switch to Obama as they learn more about Romney.