I could see Romney swing at least 15% of the vote from Obama to him, he'll have to do the math correctly.
Do you really see Romney doing better than George H.W. Bush in 1988?
Fixed and yes.
Politico, you really are a hack or else you believe we will have entered the Second Great Depression between now and November.
Romney has a fair chance of matching Dubya's 2000 performance, not that doing so will do him any good without a Nader to take some fraction of votes away from Obama. He has a slim hope of getting a majority of the PV, but the way the state contests are shaping up right now, a slender Romney PV win still sees Obama winning the EV. Absent a major crisis that reflects badly on the administration, Romney has no hope of matching Dubya in 2004, led alone his dad in 1988.