Maine results thread.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Looks like I need to change my prediction for Maine to a Romney win.   For obvious reasons, the Paul numbers will be inflated because of the source of which precincts are reported.  The only question is 30% or 40%.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Not a hater, but there is an obvious self-selection bias at work here that makes the numbers useful for gauging the relative strengths of the other candidates, but will inflate Paul's results.  Paul's only chance of winning Maine would appear to be that the Santorum surge takes more Romney supporters with it than Paul supporters, and that it be large enough to affect the outcome.  The first is likely true, but I am doubtful of the second.  I won't be shocked if Paul takes Maine, but I will be surprised, and pleasantly so.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Other than more of Gingrich's supporters switching to Santorum than I expected, this was pretty much as I thought it would be, Romney squeaking a win out over Paul.  No need for me to change my predictions based on tonight's results.