Take out MT, IN and NC. Add PA. MO probably shouldn't be listed as a toss up either but it's not a stretch.
Why take off MT, IN and NC? In MT, Rasy has Obama up by 5%, SUSA has Obama ahead by 1%, and NC has been polling around 2-5% for McCain, just like NV and FL. I agree that PA should be added, also NH show be added too.
Josh, Rasmussen's polling has been weak this cycle. Plus, it's the summer. Do you really believe Obama is up in Montona (and up by
five)?
Obama isn't up in those other states either. You want to argue that you have an outside shot at NC? Fine. Don't believe that he's up now though.