PA PrimD: Rasmussen: Clinton With Strong Lead in Pennsylvania (user search)
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  PA PrimD: Rasmussen: Clinton With Strong Lead in Pennsylvania (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA PrimD: Rasmussen: Clinton With Strong Lead in Pennsylvania  (Read 4752 times)
Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« on: March 06, 2008, 05:57:01 PM »

Rasmussen tends to overrate Obama, therefore Clinton is actually ahead by about 20% right now.

Most pollsters tend to overrate Obama.

Uh, no. Most pollsters tend to UNDERRATE him. The only states he overpolled in were California and New Hampshire. Conversely look at Wisconsin, Virginia, Maryland, Missouri...

He also overpolled in RI, OH and VT.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2008, 09:46:26 PM »

Rasmussen tends to overrate Obama, therefore Clinton is actually ahead by about 20% right now.

Most pollsters tend to overrate Obama.

Uh, no. Most pollsters tend to UNDERRATE him. The only states he overpolled in were California and New Hampshire. Conversely look at Wisconsin, Virginia, Maryland, Missouri...

He also overpolled in RI, OH and VT.
False, false, and false.

LOL

Polls didn't show RI, OH and VT much closer/a big win for Obama?

Ok!

Research 2000 greatly underestimated Obama in VT.

As for PA, Obama should downplay it's importance. Clinton has the entire machine behind her there. He won't win it (barring a miracle).

Downplay PA and make...what...Wyoming into a huge deal? Sorry but who looks silly then?
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2008, 04:16:11 PM »

The one real poll from Rhode Island showed Clinton up 15, over a week before the primary. She ended up winning by 18 points.

I could have sworn there was a lot of hype about RI possibly being very close after a poll was released. I'm probably mistaken.

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There weren't several polls showing Obama within single digits?

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Right...Rasmussen was the good poll. Not like it's being trashed by Obama supporters elsewhere or anything...
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