Official March 4th Results Discussion Topic (user search)
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June 05, 2024, 11:24:27 PM
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 52,607


« Reply #25 on: March 05, 2008, 01:32:55 AM »

My current delegate projection by the way are Obama +6 in Wyoming, Obama +9 in Mississippi and Hillary +9 in Pennsylvania.

If Clinton wins Pennsylvania by 9 points, this probably is going to the convention after all.

She's winning PA by at least nine.

Rasmussen disagrees.

LOL

Ok. Want me to name the other polls that had her up over ten points? By the way, those polls with Obama closing in mean nothing now. Easy win in OH = easy win in PA.

You mean a bunch of uni polls? Yeah sure.

Quinnipiac is a very reliable uni poll but don't worry. We'll have plenty of other polls showing her ahead comfortably and then you'll whine about those, too.

I can't wait to see the margins she runs up in the Pittsburgh, Erie and Scranton areas.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #26 on: March 05, 2008, 01:37:27 AM »



The most recent Quinnipiac has her up only 6.

And that was during the time when Obama was sweeping into the lead everywhere. Just wait until the next round of polling. I'm betting she's up at least ten.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #27 on: March 05, 2008, 02:30:55 AM »

Aren't most of the whites in Brady's CD ethnics?  And isn't there a decent Puerto Rican population in Brady's CD too?

Yes. Obama will win the district but Hillary will do very, very well among the whites in South Philly.


Please note that my projection here has Hillary up in PA only 9 delegates based on a 10 point victory.


When are you taking the cartoon out of your signature?
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #28 on: March 05, 2008, 02:35:06 PM »

Yes. Obama will win the district but Hillary will do very, very well among the whites in South Philly.

Didn't South Philly vote for Reagan?

Actually, they did.
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