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Author Topic: NJ 2009  (Read 10938 times)
Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« on: August 10, 2007, 07:56:27 PM »

Murphy is an excellent candidate so he obviously wouldn't waste his time and talent on 2009. Corzine gets an easy win.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2007, 06:53:33 PM »

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.
I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

To be fair, that wasn't blindly stupid. His loss wasn't that big.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2007, 09:01:47 AM »

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.
I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

To be fair, that wasn't blindly stupid. His loss wasn't that big.
Actually, it was very stupid.

Excellent argument as always.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #3 on: August 13, 2007, 04:48:38 PM »

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.
I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

To be fair, that wasn't blindly stupid. His loss wasn't that big.
Actually, it was very stupid.

Excellent argument as always.
Look at your argument before you idiot.

My argument before - Kean's loss wasn't that big...and it wasn't.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #4 on: August 13, 2007, 08:58:18 PM »

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.
I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

To be fair, that wasn't blindly stupid. His loss wasn't that big.
Actually, it was very stupid.

Excellent argument as always.
Look at your argument before you idiot.

My argument before - Kean's loss wasn't that big...and it wasn't.
That's not an argument. And his loss was bigger than it should have been. An 8 point loss by a moderate republican with a respected, entrenched name against an "incumbent" that's under federal criminal investigation who is from Hudson county and is the first minority to hold statewide office.

That is an argument. The loss wasn't that big so the prediction wasn't off the wall.

Also remember that Kean was a Republican running in New Jersey in 2006. Yeah, thanks.
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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« Reply #5 on: August 13, 2007, 09:32:27 PM »

Conan makes a good argument.  If it were Codey or Andrews, Kean Jr. would have got blown out BADLY.  This is not a race we should have had to worry about but somehow did.  Hell I even think Frank Pallone would have had double digits.

What you just said had nothing to do with what Conan said or what we are arguing about. Nothing.

The point - Kean didn't lose that badly so predicting that he'd win isn't that much of a bad call.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #6 on: August 13, 2007, 10:03:37 PM »

Conan makes a good argument.  If it were Codey or Andrews, Kean Jr. would have got blown out BADLY.  This is not a race we should have had to worry about but somehow did.  Hell I even think Frank Pallone would have had double digits.

What you just said had nothing to do with what Conan said or what we are arguing about. Nothing.

The point - Kean didn't lose that badly so predicting that he'd win isn't that much of a bad call.
No one who lives in NJ would ever think that Kean was going to win. 

Your reasoning is amazing.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2007, 05:56:38 PM »

Conan makes a good argument.  If it were Codey or Andrews, Kean Jr. would have got blown out BADLY.  This is not a race we should have had to worry about but somehow did.  Hell I even think Frank Pallone would have had double digits.

What you just said had nothing to do with what Conan said or what we are arguing about. Nothing.

The point - Kean didn't lose that badly so predicting that he'd win isn't that much of a bad call.
No one who lives in NJ would ever think that Kean was going to win. 

Your reasoning is amazing.
I don't have to provide reasoning for everything so some dolt like yourself can have a little bit of understanding.

Except you know that you don't have any reasoning and you are constantly owned. Run along, child.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #8 on: August 14, 2007, 06:13:53 PM »

Conan makes a good argument.  If it were Codey or Andrews, Kean Jr. would have got blown out BADLY.  This is not a race we should have had to worry about but somehow did.  Hell I even think Frank Pallone would have had double digits.

What you just said had nothing to do with what Conan said or what we are arguing about. Nothing.

The point - Kean didn't lose that badly so predicting that he'd win isn't that much of a bad call.
No one who lives in NJ would ever think that Kean was going to win. 

Your reasoning is amazing.
I don't have to provide reasoning for everything so some dolt like yourself can have a little bit of understanding.

Except you know that you don't have any reasoning and you are constantly owned. Run along, child.
Hahah. You hack, do you have any civility? Anytime there is a chance not to mock you when you post something that makes sense or has evidence to back you up, I respond in a civil manner. Fact is, I am not owned by anyone as no one has successfully repudiated any post of mine where I have made serious comments pertaining to a subject. Again, you don't know how old I am but you are certainly the most irresponsible and child like poster here. DWDL makes more sense than you do. And for a conservative republican, you certainly sound really effeminate and bitchy.

I don't have civility yet you are the one that called me a dolt, effeminate and bitchy and you respond to respectable members like Mr. Moderate with nonsense like "You are one of the worst reporters ever!". Yet I'm the one acting like the child?

You are constantly owned in arguments so just give it up.

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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #9 on: August 14, 2007, 06:25:49 PM »


OOps! You caught me! That was after the fact, smarty. The only reason you call him respectable is because of his attack on me a few posts ago and you say what I said was nonsense. Well it happens to be if you're a political reporter and haven't realized that Keans chance at winning was minimal, then you aren't such a great reporter.  You're the one who resorts to acting like a child. People are treated by me on how they treat others. Now, if you'd like to end this nonsense of personal attacks and smart ass comments, I'd love to do it if you'd agree to it. All one would have to do afterwards is notify the other of their behavior and put an end to it. Now would you like to act like an adult now?

I respect Mr. Moderate because he knows what he's talking about (I actually read his posts and they aren't filled with partisan attacks) and he's respectable. You aren't.

You just made the argument that Kean's chance at winning was minimal...when a few posts ago you said there was no chance. Which is it, Conan? You're confusing us and, most importantly, yourself.

I don't need to start acting like an adult. I've been doing so for awhile. I'm not the one who called someone bitchy and effeminate (which is rather sexist on your part but that's another story).
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 52,607


« Reply #10 on: August 14, 2007, 10:36:47 PM »


Don't take yourself too seriously. Minimal/no chance... semantics.

No, those two are fundamentally different things.

 
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Now I don't have friends off the forum! Wow! When does your insanity stop?

Again, you tell me to act like an adult and then say I don't have real life friends? Are you serious, kid?



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So you can throw your last cheap shots and then expect me to remain silent? I'll believe that you are going to stop your childish remarks when I see it.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #11 on: August 14, 2007, 11:28:26 PM »

Don't take yourself too seriously. Minimal/no chance... semantics.
No, those two are fundamentally different things.
 
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Now I don't have friends off the forum! Wow! When does your insanity stop?
Again, you tell me to act like an adult and then say I don't have real life friends? Are you serious, kid?
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So you can throw your last cheap shots and then expect me to remain silent? I'll believe that you are going to stop your childish remarks when I see it.
Well, the first one, no they are not fundamentally different. The end result is still the same.

Do you have any idea what you're saying? The end result?


Saying someone has no chance, as you did, means there is no chance of them winning.

Saying someone has a minimal chance means that they have a chance but it is small.

Understand now?
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #12 on: August 15, 2007, 10:06:42 AM »

If the NJ Republicans waste Murphy on this unwinnable election, they're not going to get anywhere.  They need to save him for something he can win.  Sure he's probably our best shot at beating Corzine, but he's still got no chance.  He might be a good candidate, but we need more than that to overcome the Democrats' strength.

Amen.
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