(NJ) who will win by a larger margin?

[Keystone Phil]

Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.

[Keystone Phil]

Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.

How so? Especially considering Christie set the Senate race to a special day rather than November?

Admittedly, I bet even if put on the same day Christie would've still outpaced Booker, but only by a point or three.

Yes, I'll concede that the unusual Special hurts Booker's margin but Cory is a rock star in a Dem state running against Steve Lonegan. This is Obama vs. Keyes-esque.

[Keystone Phil]

How saturated is the TV with ads on this one?

Definitely not heavy. Some Booker ads. They mention voting on Wednesday, October 16th but this is a type of race where I'd have a special ad almost entirely emphasizing the strange date (like the Murkowski write in ad). Maybe we'll see that next week though.

I haven't seen or heard that Lonegan has many ads out but I know some conservative group has one out highlighting his life story.

[Keystone Phil]

I've seen one commercial for Steve Lonegan and I've seen one for an Independent candidate.

Wait, for real? One of the Independent candidates has enough money for ads? I glanced at the group of candidates the other day and it seemed like the usual NJ third party candidate freak show.

[Keystone Phil]

Booker has plenty of ads up down here. Have yet to see a Lonegan ad.