When an incumbent is under 50% with a year until the election, it suggests vulnerability.
Christie is probably the favorite, but a Booker victory is certainly possible.
Christie's approval and favorability ratings are high. Incumbents in NJ almost always poll in the 40s in head to head match ups. He's fine.
Probably at this point, just positive residual feelings from the RNC combined with incumbency. Booker can still beat Christie, with some effort.
This is NJ. The speech was supposed to hurt him, if anything. Polling showed voters didn't care about his speech one way or the other though.
