does kerry have a shot in alabama?

[English]

Kerry has a million to one chance in Alabama. The margin doesn't matter because the democrat vote is saturated (African Americans). It won't go any higher.

[English]

I'd say that Alabama and Mississippi are the 2 Southern states least likely to go for a Democrat. Connecticut seems more likely to go for a Republican.

I'd say CT and NJ are a bit like GA, whereas AL and MS are more like RI maybe.

Yeh, I'd say GE is different, it has a huge urban element, Atlanta which is strongly Democrat, not to mention liberal elements such as Athens. GE is a long shot for the Democrats in any election, MS and AL are no-hopers.