TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,948
Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96
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« on: August 26, 2017, 09:56:50 AM » |
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In an ordinary R vs D presidential election it's hard to see WA/OR making any large trends toward the Republicans (small ones are certainly possible: OR nearly did in 2016; but nowhere near enough to actually win).
However, if a Kasich/Hickenlooper third party run did happen, Oregon might be a plausible Trump pickup since the upscale suburban voters are largely Democratic to begin with. In this scenario, you'd see a progressive Dem winning Portland, Corvallis, Ashland, etc. and Kasich winning, or at least putting a large dent into Washington and Clackamas Counties. Such a map could allow Trump to squeeze through. Unlikely, but possible.
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