The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[TJ in Oregon]

Does anyone have much insight into how the rest of the Rankin County vote will go? That looks like by far the biggest piece left out there.

[TJ in Oregon]

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.

^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.

[TJ in Oregon]

Cochran has 89.6% of the vote in Hinds County right now. Jackson looks like it really stepped up its game this time around.

[TJ in Oregon]

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.

^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.

They're both wrong answers.  It's still WAY too early to call that primary, even though Lankford has a lead right now.

No Oldies, I wasn't calling the prediction right or wrong, I was calling either of them as a senate right not wrong. I don't care about predictions. I don't care who some random dude on the internet says will win. It doesn't matter. What matters is what kind of senator they would be.

[TJ in Oregon]

First full county in in MS: Quitman.

Cochran won it 326-173 this time and only won it 215-129 last time around.

Quitman is a black belt delta county, so it looks like Cochran managed to get the turnout a little higher there while carrying it would roughly the same percentage.

[TJ in Oregon]

Yup no Jones yet. Or Rankin or DeSoto either. Cochran's looking better so far, but those three are certainly some of the places to watch. Brace ourselves for the 10,000 vote dagger when Jones reports.

[TJ in Oregon]

McDaniel also outperformed his old margin in Amite County from last time. It looks like the strong areas of both campaigns simply got stronger. Hopefully the Free State of Jones doesn't have anyone left who didn't vote last time.

[TJ in Oregon]

Early results out of Rankin looking better than last time for Cochran; early results out of DeSoto looking better for McDaniel.

[TJ in Oregon]

Yay! Lankford wins! I was worried about this race when a runoff would have just led to a Shannon win and a Republican nomination would have led to a Republican Senator. So even though Lankford is by far one of the worst party-line, hard-line conservatives out there, at least Republicans lost their fuel at an opportunity for another black Senator on their side before 2016 comes around.

So basically what you're saying is that you're glad a white guy won instead of a black guy, right?

[TJ in Oregon]

Congratulations Harry!

[TJ in Oregon]

Zeigler won Auditor 66-34 over Peterson

Disgusting

Peterson is facing multiple charges of shoplifting. Why is it disgusting that he's losing? What am I missing here?

[TJ in Oregon]

Grothman probably will still win, but about a third of the outstanding precincts from WI-6 are from Sheboygan County, which is Leibham's home, so he still might have a shot if there's some geographic polarization.

[TJ in Oregon]

My quick county canvassing of WI-6 shows:

Ozaukee County- all in, narrow Grothman lead over Stroebel, Leibham far behind
Fon du Lac - all in, Grothman win, Liebhman sorta distant second
Winnebago- moderate Grothman win over Liebham
Manitowoc - all in, huge Liebham win
Sheboygan - almost nothing in
Green Lake - County website doesn't list results
Marquette - County website doesn't list results
Waushara - County website doesn't list results
Columbia - County website has results but in format almost impossible to read
Dodge/Milwaukee - not sure what parts are in district

Grothman looks like he probably won unless Leibham can get a crazy margin out of Sheboygan like he did out of Manitowoc. Stroebel doesn't look like he'll gain from the areas outstanding

[TJ in Oregon]

The AP called it for Grothman about 15 minutes ago. Maybe I'm crazy, but I'm not completely convinced Grothman will win. Leibham is down about 4000 votes with 11/53 precincts in from Sheboygan County and a scattering from rural places. Liebham is currently up 700 votes from Sheboygan County, and he won Manitowoc by 3900 votes, so would it be impossible for him to win Sheboygan by 4700? It has more people and is more Republican and is his home. Perhaps I'm grasping at straws here or the AP knows something I don't, but this doesn't quite seem over yet. Perhaps it's just too big of a lead.

[TJ in Oregon]

Grothman's lead is cut from 5k to 1500 votes as some unknown fraction of Sheboygan County just reported. He now leads Leibham 36%-34% with 91% in and most of the remaining precincts from Sheboygan County.

Unfortunately the Sheboygan County website is now acting all weird and went from 18 precincts reporting to 3 reporting, though the totals seem to have some continuity throughout.

The AP has been wrong before and may be wrong again. However, even if Leibham can muster a few more votes out of Sheboygan it'll be really close.

[TJ in Oregon]

Grothman's lead is cut from 5k to 1500 votes as some unknown fraction of Sheboygan County just reported. He now leads Leibham 36%-34% with 91% in and most of the remaining precincts from Sheboygan County.

Unfortunately the Sheboygan County website is now acting all weird and went from 18 precincts reporting to 3 reporting, though the totals seem to have some continuity throughout.

The AP has been wrong before and may be wrong again. However, even if Leibham can muster a few more votes out of Sheboygan it'll be really close.

Leibham is leading 64-28 in Sheboygan county, two thirds of the precincts haven't been counted. I really don't see how Grothman wins.

Well the thing is that most of remaining precincts are either from the City of Sheboygan or rural towns and are smaller than the precincts already counted. Leibham will win the remaining precincts, it's just a matter of by how much.

[TJ in Oregon]

According to AoSHHDD Grothman's lead is now down to 810 votes.

Now I'm somewhat torn because I want Leibham to win but I also want to go to bed

[TJ in Oregon]

It turns out more precincts are in from Sheboygan than previously thought: 39/53 in, including the entire City of Sheboygan, which was where Leibham really cleaned up. Almost all of what's left is rural and from the northern half of Sheboygan County, which has been much friendlier to Liebham than the southern half.

The Town of Sheboygan Falls is also still outstanding and I estimate Leibham will net about 200 votes from there alone, meaning he needs about 600 more from the rural towns.

[TJ in Oregon]

Now it's down to a 552 vote lead for Grothman. Not sure what just reported; it seems the good folks over in the Sheboygan County Clerk's office like to update the totals before they update the precinct information.