TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,948
Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96
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« on: August 12, 2013, 11:46:30 PM » |
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The clear answer here is Georgia. The GOP has no hope really of making inroads in the black vote, which is growing in Georgia at the expense of a lack of growth in the white population, which most of the growth of is in the metro Atlanta area where it cannot be taken for granted they're voting Republican.
As for Arizona, despite the Hispanic growth, the statewide totals haven't shown a trend in the Democratic direction. Arizona is about 20% whiter than Georgia and Hispanics aren't nearly as Democratic as blacks. While the whites in Arizona may not be as partisan, the rest of the statistics point strongly toward Georgia going Democatic first.
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