IN-Rasmussen: Romney up by 16

[TJ in Oregon]

In the scheme of presidential elections, 2008 was an outlier for Indiana because it is not the start of some trend toward Indiana becoming a swing/D state.  It was a one hit wonder

Probably true, but Obama's not going to do worse than Kerry (39%) here.

Even if this poll isn't an outlier, it already had Obama at 35% and 11% are undecideds. Presumably Obama will get somewhere close to half of them and easily do better than 39%.