The Confession

[HST1948]

Clinton Headquarters- White Plains, New York

"Thank you very much. You know, tonight, we are hearing the voices of people across America, people of all ages, of all colors, all faiths and all walks of life, people on the day shift, the night shift, the late shift, with the crying babies, moms and dads who want a better world for our children, young people who deserve a world of opportunity, all those who aren't in the headlines, but have always written America's story.

We must continue to be a nation that strives always to give each of our children a better future, a nation of optimists who believe our best days are yet to come, a nation of idealists, holding fast to our deepest values, that we are all created equal, that we all deserve to fulfill our God given potential, that we are destined for progress together.

It's the ideal inscribed on the base of the Statute of Liberty in this great city that has overlooked our harbor through wars and depression and the dark days of September 11, the words we all know that give voice to America's embrace -- "Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses, yearning to breathe free" -- a constant reminder that here in America, we face our challenges and we embrace all of our people.

So today we say with one voice -- give us the child who wants to learn, give us the people in need of work, give us the veterans who need our care. We say give us this economy to rebuild and this war to end. Give us this nation to heal, this world to lead, this moment to seize. I know we're ready." - Senator Hillary Clinton

[HST1948]

Giuliani Headquarters- New York, New York

"Every four years, we are told that this presidential election is the most important election of our lifetime. This year — 2008 — IS the most important. This has already been historic. It is the longest presidential campaign in history. And it sometimes felt even longer. The American people realize this election represents a turning point. In two months they will decide the future direction of our nation. It's a decision to follow one path or another. "We the people" — the citizens of the United States — get to decide our next president ... not the media, not Hollywood celebrities, not anyone else. And tonight, "We the people" decided to choose someone with the leadership necessary to guide this country to the perilous circumstances that we are facing..." Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani. 

[HST1948]

Brownback Headquarters, Little Rock Arkansas

"The Declaration of Independence states that all men are created equal---endowed by their Creator with certain inalienable rights and that governments are instituted among men to secure these rights, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed. It is therefore appropriate that the President must take an oath---an oath required by and pledging fealty to our Constitution, for ours is a government of laws not men. Through our laws we enshrine our aspirations and respond to the challenges of our time.

My home state of Kansas was born of aspiration---the last word of our state motto is the Latin root for "aspiration." Aspiration for life liberty and the pursuit of happiness. All of those aspirations are worthy and each to some degree remains unfulfilled. Our challenges should be well known to us---millions of Americans actively seek gainful employment and cannot find it. Our public finances strain under the weight of commitments beyond our present means. Our families and social fabric fray against the crassness of modernity. Yet we have known worse and overcome more..." Governor Sam Brownback

[HST1948]

Ron Paul Headquarters, Minneapolis, Minnesota

" ... next year the 100th anniversary of the Federal Reserve by repealing the Federal Reserve Act. (APPLAUSE)

AUDIENCE: End the Fed! End the Fed! End the Fed! End the Fed! End the Fed! End the Fed! End the Fed!

PAUL: But a lot has happened in the last four years. These problems have been going on for a long time. It'd be nice if we could blame one person or one administration, but it's been going on a long time, so -- so many young people here, I think you're realizing you're getting a bad rap for what you're inheriting. You'd like a much better deal. And the deal -- the better deal can be found in less government and only sending people to Washington who have actually read the Constitution and will obey the Constitution and take their oath of office seriously...

(APPLAUSE)

... which would be -- which would do so many wonderful things for us. Take, for instance, if you're tired of the wars -- I hope you're sick and tired of the wars that we're involved in...

(APPLAUSE)

... what if we had the return to the Constitution. The founders made sure in the document in the Constitution that the wars would only occur not by the executive branch, but only by the people, through their representatives in Congress. That's the way all wars should be declared. If necessary, they should be declared, won, and get them over with, and come home. That's the way it was supposed to be done."
- Congressman Ron Paul

[HST1948]

I really hope McGreevey comes out around March or April, and "confesses" in a major authentic speech, analgous to Obama's speech about race after Jeremiah Wright. And McGreevey still becomes the nominee, and his general election opponent is... Brownback.

I can tell you that McGreevey's speech will certainly be authentic, but I haven't quite decided when it will happen.  I know the circumstances that lead to his "confession", I just haven't decided when yet.  And, don't worry I have some plans for Brownback's future in politics as well.  I'll try not to disappoint

[HST1948]

February 9th 2008

McGreevey wins Virgin Island Convention

McGreevey 60%- Clinton 38%

Clinton Wins Louisiana Primary

Clinton 56%- McGreevey 44%

Clinton Wins Nebraska Caucuses

Clinton 55%- McGreevey 45%

McGreevey Wins Washington Caucuses

McGreevey 53%- Clinton 47%

Brownback Wins Louisiana Caucus

Brownback 58%- Giuliani 32%- Paul 8%

Brownback Wins Kansas Caucus

Brownback  70%- Giuliani 21%- Paul 7%

Giuliani Wins Washington Caucuses

Giuliani 45%- Brownback  35%- Paul 20%

[HST1948]

January 10, 2008: McGreevey Wins Maine Caucus

McGreevey 54%- Clinton 46%

New York Times: Trouble in Hillaryland: Clinton Campaign Manager Patti Solis Doyle Resigns: Will Stay on as Adviser, Replaced by Maggie Williams

[HST1948]

January 12, 2012: The Potomac Primaries

McGreevey Wins Maryland

McGreevey 53%- Clinton 47%

McGreevey Narrowly Wins Virginia

McGreevey 49%- Clinton 48%

McGreevey Wins Washington D.C.

McGreevey 60%- Clinton 40%

Giuliani Wins Maryland Primary 

Giuliani 58%- Brownback 37%- Paul 5%

Brownback Wins The Virginia Primary

Brownback 47%- Giuliani 46%- Paul 6%

Giuliani Wins Washington D.C Primary

Giuliani 78%- Paul 12%- Brownback 10%

[HST1948]

The Nominations As of February 14, 2008

Democratic Nomination

Former Presidential and Speculated 2008 Presidential Candidate Endorsements:

McGreevey
Chris Dodd
Joe Biden
Bill Richardson
Dennis Kucinich
Howard Dean
Russ Feingold
John Kerry
Mark Warner

Hillary Clinton
Evan Bayh
Tom Vilsak
Barack Obama
Wesley Clark
Tom Dashle

Republican Nomination

Former Presidential and Speculated 2008 Presidential Candidate Endorsements:

Rudy Giuliani
John McCain
Mitt Romney
Fred Thompson
Jim Gilmore
Tommy Thompson

Sam Brownback
Mike Huckabee
Duncan Hunter
Alan Keys
Tom Tancredo

National Polling

Jim McGreevey 44%- Rudy Giuliani 49%
Jim McGreevey 50%- Sam Brownback 45%

Hillary Clinton 42%- Rudy Giuliani 50%
Hillary Clinton 48%- Sam Brownback 46%

[HST1948]

February 19, 2008

Giuliani Wins Wisconsin Primary

Giuliani 48%- Brownback 44%- Paul 8%

McGreevey Wins Wisconsin Primary

McGreevey 51%- Clinton 49%

McGreevey Wins Hawaii Caucus

McGreevey 58%- Clinton 42%

[HST1948]

February 20, 2008:McGreevey Campaign Bus, Somewhere in Ohio

Jim McGreevey: I want Golan to be promoted in the campaign. 

Anita Dunn: Jim you can't be serious. There were already rumors about the two of you while you were governor.  If you promote him the press is going to start digging, and they may just find something that could bring this campaign down.  Jim the rumors that the Star Tribune was reporting in New Jersey aren't just rumors, they're real and they have the ability to destroy this campaign. 

Jim McGreevey: Golan has worker harder than anyone else for this campaign.  He delivered Florida, Virginia, California and Wisconsin to us, without him there would be no campaign to destroy. 

Bob Shrum: Jim you just have to understand the optics of this. I know that this is said during every election, but this is the most important election in recent history, and you have the chance to win it. 

Jim McGreevey: Then let me win by promoting the person who has been delivering us victories.  Golan deserves this, he has done more for this campaign than anyone else. 

Anita Dunn: Jim you have gotta understand that we are not in New Jersey anymore and that every move you make, every person you promote comes under extreme scrutiny by the press.

Bob Shrum: Did Golan insist to be promoted? Did he threaten you?

Jim McGreevey: Absolutely not.  Last night he did ask me if he could take on a more important role in the campaign where he could put his talents to more use. He told me that he loves what he does but he feels like his efforts go unnoticed and unappreciated by the campaign...

Anita Dunn: Last night...?

McGreevey doesn't respond.

Bob Shrum: Dammit Jim. 

[HST1948]

Just read this entire thing through, great tl.

Thanks! I'm glad you're enjoying it.  Hopefully I'll be able to finish up the primary pretty soon and get under way with the general election. 

[HST1948]

McGreevey Wins Democrats Abroad Primary

Giuliani Wins American Samoa, Northern Mariana, and Puerto Rico Caucuses

[HST1948]

February 26th 2008: McGreevey and Clinton Debate in Ohio 

The democratic debate stuck to the same talking points that both candidates had been hammering away at since they entered the race. The most notable event in an exchange when Clinton attacked Mcgreevey for being "too inexperienced in foreign policy and defense to be able to lead this nation for day one of his presidency in an age of global terrorism".  McGreevey played to the crowd when he responded, "Senator, I would like the American people to compare our records after the September 11th attacks. I set up a homeland task force in New Jersey to ensure the security and safety of our Nation's largest metropolitan area.  I put aside partisan differences and worked tirelessly with Governor Pitaki and Mayor Giuliani to continue the recovery efforts in New York City. And when the American people look at your record, Senator, what will they find? They will find that the most notable thing you have done in you almost eight years in the Senate is vote to authorize a reckless president to conduct an unconstitutional war at the expense of our children's futures".  The crowd went into wild applause.  This debate paved the way for the critical Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas Primaries on March 4th. 
   

[HST1948]

The Campaign to Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island, and Vermont

March 3, 2008: Clinton Campaigns at Case Western Reserve University

McGreevey in Cincinnati

Giuliani in Columbus

Brownback in Akron

March 3, 2008 Aggregate Ohio Polls

Democratic Primary
McGreevey 44%- Clinton 46%

Republican Primary
Giuliani 45%- Brownback 45%- Paul 4%

March 3, 2008 Aggregate Texas Polls

Democratic Primary
McGreevey 40%- Clinton 50%

Republican Primary
Giuliani 42%- Brownback 48%- Paul 6%

[HST1948]

CNN Election 2008: Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont

Anderson Cooper: Thank you for choosing to watch CNN for the latest Election coverage. Tonight the states of Vermont, Rhode Island, Texas and Ohio will all hold their primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations. In an unpredictable election season, this could be a make it our break it night for some campaigns.  

John King: Thank you Anderson.  At the top of the hour we can make calls in the states of Rhode Island and Vermont, for both parties.  On the Democratic side CNN can project that Governor McGreevey has won both primaries, while on the republican side we can project that Mayor Giuliani has also won both states.  

Jim McGreevey Wins Vermont

 

McGreevey 58%- Clinton 42%

McGreevey Wins Rhode Island

 

McGreevey 53%- Clinton 47%

Giuliani Wins Vermont

Giuliani 58%- Paul 30%- Brownback 10%

Giuliani Wins Rhode Island

Giuliani 50%- Brownback 40%- Paul 10%

Wolf Blitzer: At this point the races in Ohio are still too close to call but we can project that in the state of Texas Senator Clinton will win both the primary and the caucus on the Democratic side and Senator Brownback will win on the Republican side.  

Clinton Wins Texas

Clinton 54%- McGreevey 46%

Brownback Wins in Texas

Brownback 48%- Giuliani 44- Paul 8%

Anderson Cooper: Three hours after polls closed in the state of Ohio we can now project that on the Democratic side Governor McGreevey will carry the state by the narrowest of margins. On the Republican side, the state will hand Mayor Giuliani a very narrow victory as well and give his campaign a much needed boost.  

McGreevey Narrowly Takes Ohio  

 

McGreevey 49.6%- Clinton 49.4%

Giuliani Wins Ohio

Giuliani 48.6%- Brownback 48.2%- Paul 4.0%

John King: With another night of primaries down in this incredibly unpredictable primary election, lets take a look at the updated primary maps.  

Democratic Nomination

Republican Nomination

[HST1948]

Clinton Campaign Bus, Lancaster Pennsylvania

Patti Solis Doyle: Hillary, can we speak for a minute. 

Hillary Clinton: Come in. 

Patti Solis Doyle: I just got off the phone with Maggie [Williams] and after last night I'm not sure If it isn't time that we...

Hillary Clinton: That we what... gave up, gave in, let them win.  I won f-ing Texas Patti. 

Patti Solis Doyle: But you lost every other state that voted last night. Hillary, this prolonged primary is going to hurt the party in the fall, and to be honest... I don't think you can win this primary, not this time. 

Hillary Clinton: We still have Pennsylvania, Mississippi, Wyoming, Oregon, West Virginia, North Carolina, Puerto Rico, South Dakota and Indiana.  Don't tell me we can't win, don't.  Now get out!

Pattis Solis Doyle: Senator, I have a great deal of respect for you and your career.  I wish you the best, but when we get to Philadelphia I'm going to get on a plane back to New York...

[HST1948]

Sorry I haven't updated in a while... It's been a crazy few weeks!

March 8, 2008: Hillary Clinton Wins Wyoming Democratic Caucus

Clinton 55%- McGreevey 45%

Giuliani Wins the Guam Caucus

Giuliani 60%- Paul 30%- Brownback 10%

March 11, 2008: Clinton Wins Mississippi Primary

Clinton 60%- McGreevey 40%

April 5, 2008: Jim McGreevey Wins the Virgin Island Caucuses

McGreevey 57%- Clinton 43%

[HST1948]

The Fight to Pennsylvania

Hillary Clinton Campaigns in Pittsburgh

McGreevey in Philadelphia

Giuliani in Lancaster

Brownback Rally in Allentown

Aggregate Pennsylvania Polls: April 21, 2008

Democratic Primary:
McGreevey: 48%
Clinton: 48%

Republican Primary:
Giuliani: 48%
Brownback: 44%
Pau: 4%

[HST1948]

The 2008 Pennsylvania Primaries

Giuliani Wins Pennsylvania

Giuliani 48%- Brownback 46%- Paul 5%

McGreevey Wins the Pennsylvania Primary

McGreevey 49.7- Clinton 49.5

[HST1948]

May 6, 2008: Indiana and North Carolina Primaries

Clinton Wins Indiana Primary

Clinton 51%- McGreevey 49%

Brownback Wins Indiana Primary

Brownback: 48.0%- Giuliani 47.6%- Paul 3.9%

McGreevey Wins in North Carolina

McGreevey 51%- Clinton 49%

Giuliani Wins North Carolina Primary

Giuliani 50%- McGreevey 47%- Paul 3%

Hillary Clinton Speech, Indianapolis

"Thank you Indiana! We really showed them tonight that we still have it in us and that we're not giving up. We showed them that we're gonna give them a fight.  And we showed them that we're going to the White House!  I know it's been a long journey, and that we have been told time and time again that our time has passed, but I think today Indiana has proved all of those wrong.  We're in this race until the end!..."

Hillary exits stage right and says to campaign manager Maggi Williams, "S**t! Tonight was bad.  I'm not done. This isn't the campaign I wanted to run!".

[HST1948]

Updated Nomination Maps

Democratic Nomination

Republican Nomination

[HST1948]

Hey Hillary Clinton was born in Illinois, not Indiana.

Thanks!  I knew she had grown up in Illinois, but I had always thought she was born in Indiana. Thanks for the correction!

[HST1948]

So is Rudy the Presumptive Nominee?  And can we see Bill Weld or Pataki come out of retirement for a senate campaign?  Please...

I hadn't thought of Weld, but that's not a bad idea.

[HST1948]

May 20, 2008: Kentucky and Oregon Primaries

Clinton Takes Kentucky

Clinton 58%- McGreevey 42%

Brownback Takes Kentucky

Brownback 50%- Giuliani 47%- Paul 3%

McGreevey Takes Oregon

McGreevey 58%- Clinton 41%

Giuliani Wins the Oregon Primary

Giuliani 59%- Brownback 29%- Paul 11%

National Polling

McGreevey 45%- Giuliani 45%
McGreevey 49%- Brownback 43%

Clinton 44%- Giuliani 49%
Clinton 47%- Brownback 44%