*will* kerry recover? (user search)
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  *will* kerry recover? (search mode)
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Author Topic: *will* kerry recover?  (Read 5946 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: September 10, 2004, 09:21:46 PM »

of course i know he *can* recover, but will he?

this thing is appearing more and more like a landslide with every passing day.  kerry's ineptitude as a candidate is striking.

i want some non-partisan answers.  how many think kerry will recover enough to at least make it a competitive race?

It will be "competitive" up to the Election Night.  Even if the current polls hold, there's still going to be drama.  I don't think Bush can pull further ahead than 10 points, and I don't think he's ever going to do much better than 52% nationally*.  That will leave things open for Kerry until the very end.

*Barring an October Surprise.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2004, 01:53:23 PM »

Kerry will probably not recover for two reasons:

--Bad EV map strategy
By failing to fight hold states like WI and IA,

Kerry and Edwards have been here so often in the past few months, it's hard *not* to run into them.

10 electoral votes, and both campaigns are fighting like mad for us.  It's kinda fun to watch.
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